| 107.976 | 87.6% | How many additional indictments will have been filed against Donald Trump on May 31, 2024? | Continuous |
| 47.457 | 86.7% | How many OpenAI or Anthropic model versions will be released between December 1, 2023 and May 31, 2024? | Continuous |
| 42.044 | 55.8% | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Gukesh Dommaraju) | Binary |
| 38.538 | 88.2% | What will be the total number of military fatalities at the North and South Korean border between January 1, 2024 and May 31, 2024? | Continuous |
| 34.875 | 99.9% | Will any peer-reviewed replication attempt before 2025 confirm the discovery of room-temperature and ambient-pressure superconductivity in LK-99? | Binary |
| 34.293 | 35.4% | Will a politician claim they lost a major election due to a "deepfake" image, video, or audio recording in a G20 country before 2025? | Binary |
| 32.377 | 78.9% | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Manchester City) | Binary |
| 26.527 | 87.6% | What will be the US Federal Funds Rate on May 31, 2024? | Continuous |
| 24.211 | 87.7% | What will be the total bilateral commitments of Ukraine support (in billions of EUR) on May 31, 2024? | Continuous |
| 22.321 | 55.8% | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Anish Giri) | Binary |
| 20.875 | 61.1% | Will Bing's search engine market share be at least 5% in March of 2024? | Binary |
| 18.609 | 55.8% | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Alireza Firouzja) | Binary |
| 14.843 | 85.4% | Which bid will be selected to host the 2030 FIFA World Cup? (Spain-Portugal-Morocco) | Binary |
| 14.622 | 85.4% | Which bid will be selected to host the 2030 FIFA World Cup? (Spain-Portugal-Ukraine-Morocco) | Binary |
| 14.145 | 87.9% | Will at least one of Egypt, Jordan, or Lebanon be at war with Israel on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 13.470 | 96.4% | Will a lead-apatite class superconductor with a warm Tc be found before 2025? | Binary |
| 13.442 | 87.6% | What will be the total number of air incursions into the ADIZ between January 1, 2024 and May 31, 2024? | Continuous |
| 12.106 | 99.0% | Will Vladimir Putin declare Martial Law in at least 3/4 of Russia before 2025? | Binary |
| 11.918 | 71.6% | Will the US and Iran be primary actors on opposite sides of a war before 2025? | Binary |
| 11.843 | 88.1% | How many total arm sales to Taiwan will the US State Department approve between January 1, 2024 and May 31, 2024? | Continuous |
| 11.294 | 87.9% | What will the UK consumer price inflation rate for April 2024 be? | Continuous |
| 11.163 | 95.5% | Meaningful commitments from UK AI Summit? (No) → ChatGPT available in Europe on June 30, 2024? | Binary |
| 10.825 | 87.6% | What will be the Nino 3.4 sea surface temperature (in degrees Celsius) be for May 2024? | Continuous |
| 10.637 | 88.7% | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Bayern Munich) | Binary |
| 10.626 | 87.9% | Will there be United Nations peacekeeping troops in Gaza on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 9.786 | 55.8% | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Wesley So) | Binary |
| 9.718 | 87.6% | What will be the US labor force participation rate for the May 2024? | Continuous |
| 9.556 | 70.5% | On Election Day 2024, will Donald Trump be a third-party candidate for the US Presidential Election? | Binary |
| 9.553 | 85.4% | Which bid will be selected to host the 2030 FIFA World Cup? (Uruguay-Argentina-Chile-Paraguay) | Binary |
| 9.409 | 86.7% | Will there be at least one operational nuclear power plant in Germany on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 9.300 | 87.6% | Will at least one nuclear whistle-blower go public between January 1, 2024 and May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 9.272 | 81.5% | Will there be a military conflict resulting in at least 50 deaths between the United States and China in 2024? | Binary |
| 8.589 | 55.8% | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Leinier Domínguez Pérez) | Binary |
| 8.376 | 95.2% | Will a room-temperature and ambient-pressure superconductor be used in a commercial application before 2025? | Binary |
| 8.351 | 55.8% | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Nijat Abasov) | Binary |
| 8.345 | 87.9% | Will Rishi Sunak be Prime Minister of the UK on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 7.448 | 99.8% | Will an investigation conducted by or on behalf of any NATO government report that the US was involved in the destruction of the Nord Stream pipeline before 2025? | Binary |
| 7.272 | 86.7% | Will an LLM by Apple be ranked in the top-5 on the Chatbot Arena Leaderboard on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 6.765 | 86.7% | Will X (formerly Twitter) be a public company on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 6.646 | 78.9% | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Arsenal) | Binary |
| 6.385 | 85.4% | Which bid will be selected to host the 2030 FIFA World Cup? (Greece-Saudi Arabia) | Binary |
| 6.301 | 55.8% | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Magnus Carlsen) | Binary |
| 6.109 | 87.6% | Will Elon Musk be chairman of X (formerly Twitter) on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 5.538 | 86.7% | Will OpenAI be a public company on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 5.235 | 55.8% | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Arjun Erigaisi) | Binary |
| 5.087 | 6.5% | Will GPT-4 input and/or output images? (Input No, Output No) | Binary |
| 4.172 | 85.4% | Which bid will be selected to host the 2030 FIFA World Cup? (Egypt-Greece-Saudi Arabia) | Binary |
| 4.116 | 92.6% | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr.) | Binary |
| 4.070 | 55.8% | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Levon Aronian) | Binary |
| 3.960 | 40.7% | Will OpenAI's ChatGPT be generally available in the European Union on June 30, 2024? | Binary |
| 3.748 | 55.8% | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Vidit Gujrathi) | Binary |
| 3.436 | 38.7% | Will China's economy grow faster than India's in 2023? | Binary |
| 3.435 | 5.4% | Will a major cyberattack, virus, worm, etc. that uses LLMs in some important way occur before January 1st, 2025? | Binary |
| 3.314 | 55.8% | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Andre Esipenko) | Binary |
| 3.266 | 61.9% | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Napoli) | Binary |
| 2.704 | 55.8% | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Nodirbek Abdusattorov) | Binary |
| 2.571 | 70.4% | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Vivek Ramaswamy) | Binary |
| 2.559 | 62.5% | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Inter Milan) | Binary |
| 2.366 | 78.4% | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Athletico Madrid) | Binary |
| 2.353 | 55.8% | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Maxime Vachier-Lagrave) | Binary |
| 2.312 | 86.6% | What will be the total capacity (in GW) for all operational offshore windfarms in the UK on May 31, 2024? | Continuous |
| 2.263 | 88.3% | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Paris Saint-Germain) | Binary |
| 2.254 | 55.8% | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Amin Tabatabaei) | Binary |
| 2.232 | 55.8% | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Richard Rapport) | Binary |
| 2.201 | 55.8% | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Jan-Krzysztof Duda) | Binary |
| 2.046 | 58.6% | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Real Sociedad) | Binary |
| 1.938 | 55.8% | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Fabiano Caruana) | Binary |
| 1.913 | 75.9% | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Vivek Ramaswamy) | Binary |
| 1.873 | 55.8% | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Sam Sevian) | Binary |
| 1.869 | 55.8% | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Parham Maghsoodloo) | Binary |
| 1.848 | 59.1% | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (RB Leipzig) | Binary |
| 1.827 | 78.4% | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Barcelona) | Binary |
| 1.659 | 55.8% | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu) | Binary |
| 1.615 | 96.0% | Will there be a non-test nuclear detonation in Iran before 2025? | Binary |
| 1.614 | 61.9% | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Porto) | Binary |
| 1.580 | 98.4% | Will Israel use nuclear weapons in combat before October 7, 2024? | Binary |
| 1.541 | 55.8% | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Vincent Keymer) | Binary |
| 1.541 | 55.8% | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Alexandr Predke) | Binary |
| 1.466 | 55.8% | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Vladimir Fedoseev) | Binary |
| 1.431 | 58.6% | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Lazio) | Binary |
| 1.429 | 62.4% | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (PSV) | Binary |
| 1.428 | 55.8% | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Alexander Grischuk) | Binary |
| 1.380 | 55.8% | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Hans Niemann) | Binary |
| 1.325 | 55.8% | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Etienne Bacrot) | Binary |
| 1.324 | 59.5% | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Copenhagen) | Binary |
| 1.278 | 55.8% | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Vishwanathan Anand) | Binary |
| 1.266 | 55.8% | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Nihal Sarin) | Binary |
| 1.194 | 55.8% | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Yuriy Kuzubov) | Binary |
| 1.183 | 55.8% | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Hikaru Nakamura) | Binary |
| 1.177 | 19.2% | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Manchester United) | Binary |
| 1.103 | 15.4% | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Shared Power) | Binary |
| 1.088 | 55.8% | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Ian Nepomniachtchi) | Binary |
| 0.929 | 33.4% | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Cenk Uygur) | Binary |
| 0.903 | 54.6% | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Chase Oliver) | Binary |
| 0.821 | 19.2% | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Galatasaray) | Binary |
| 0.782 | 26.0% | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr.) | Binary |
| 0.777 | 15.4% | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (International Government) | Binary |
| 0.742 | 13.2% | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Sevilla) | Binary |
| 0.724 | 19.2% | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Braga) | Binary |
| 0.722 | 19.7% | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Newcastle United) | Binary |
| 0.696 | 19.7% | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (AC Milan) | Binary |
| 0.687 | 99.0% | Will Yevgeny V. Prigozhin make a public appearance before 23 February 2024? | Binary |
| 0.636 | 13.2% | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Lens) | Binary |
| 0.613 | 12.7% | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Feyenoord) | Binary |
| 0.572 | 77.9% | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Tim Scott) | Binary |
| 0.537 | 98.5% | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Tim Scott) | Binary |
| 0.532 | 72.6% | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Cornel West) | Binary |
| 0.515 | 12.7% | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Crvena Zvezda) | Binary |
| 0.480 | 1.0% | Will the first independent replication attempt confirm the discovery of room-temperature and ambient-pressure superconductivity in LK-99? | Binary |
| 0.473 | 19.7% | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Shakhtar Donetsk) | Binary |
| 0.445 | 72.6% | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Jill Stein) | Binary |
| 0.434 | 12.7% | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Celtic) | Binary |
| 0.358 | 61.6% | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Glenn Youngkin) | Binary |
| 0.316 | 77.9% | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Larry Elder) | Binary |
| 0.287 | 89.7% | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Francis Suarez) | Binary |
| 0.276 | 91.2% | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Will Hurd) | Binary |
| 0.267 | 6.5% | Will GPT-4 input and/or output images? (Input Yes, Output Yes) | Binary |
| 0.242 | 2.8% | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Antwerp) | Binary |
| 0.235 | 25.7% | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Gretchen Whitmer) | Binary |
| 0.218 | 77.9% | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Doug Burgum) | Binary |
| 0.213 | 3.2% | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (RB Salzburg) | Binary |
| 0.198 | 3.2% | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Benfica) | Binary |
| 0.165 | 3.2% | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Union Berlin) | Binary |
| 0.161 | 23.2% | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Marianne Williamson) | Binary |
| 0.145 | 20.0% | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (J.D. Vance) | Binary |
| 0.112 | 2.8% | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Young Boys) | Binary |
| 0.092 | 33.4% | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Dean Phillips) | Binary |
| -0.028 | 76.2% | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Asa Hutchinson) | Binary |
| -1.870 | 86.7% | Will any OpenAI or Anthropic model be in the top-10 model with a non-proprietary license on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| -2.601 | 99.9% | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Borussia Dortmund) | Binary |
| -3.291 | 6.5% | Will GPT-4 input and/or output images? (Input Yes, Output No) | Binary |
| -3.677 | 99.9% | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Real Madrid) | Binary |
| -4.126 | 6.5% | Will GPT-4 input and/or output images? (Input No, Output Yes) | Binary |
| -20.206 | 86.6% | Will at least 2 of the countries listed below be reinfected with either WPV1 or cVDPV before June 1, 2024? | Binary |