Questions
Tournaments
Services
News
Questions
Tournaments
Questions
Questions
More
Log in
Sign Up
a
/
ζ
Log in
Sign Up
21
comments
123
forecasters
Will Iran possess a nuclear weapon before 2041?
67%
chance
Share
Predict
Comments
Timeline
Key Factors
Question Info
Timeline
1d
1w
2m
all
Resolution Criteria
Key Factors
No key factors yet
Add some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Background Info
Histogram
Follow
embed
Authors:
stanulamstan
Opened:
Aug 14, 2022
Closes:
Dec 30, 2040
Scheduled resolution:
Jan 1, 2041
Spot Scoring Time:
Aug 16, 2022
Technology
Geopolitics
Politics
Similar Questions
Will Iran possess a nuclear weapon before 2026?
0.1%
chance
1.1k
Will Iran possess a nuclear weapon before 2030?
25%
chance
629
Will the United States and Iran sign a new agreement restricting Iran's nuclear program before 2029?
25%
chance
47
Show More Questions