Question

If China launches a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2035, will they successfully control Taiwan within three years?

Total Forecasters238
Community Prediction
66%
(50% - 77%)

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50%
community: 66%
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Opened:Jun 19, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2035
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2035
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 20, 2022