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If there is at least one nuclear detonation by 2030, in which countries will there be at least one fatality?

13
11
265 forecasters

Forecast Timeline

Total Forecasters 214

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RegionMe
India
6%
Ukraine
25%
Israel
15%
Pakistan
10%
Russia
8%
North Korea
5%
China
1.5%
US, UK, or France
1.5%
Authors:
Opened:Oct 28, 2021
Closes:Dec 31, 2029
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2030

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