104 forecasters

How does the level of existential risk posed by AGI depend on its arrival time?

2022-10-10 to 2024-12-3153%

2025-01-01 to 2029-12-3140%

2030-01-01 to 2039-12-3129%

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2040-01-01 to 2059-12-31

2025-01-01 to 2029-12-31

2030-01-01 to 2039-12-31

Authors:

Opened:

Oct 8, 2022

Closes:

Jan 1, 2125

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 2, 2125

Artificial Intelligence

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Atlantic•Sep 16, 2025

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