Group

How does the level of existential risk posed by AGI depend on its arrival time?

21
19
102 forecasters

Make a Prediction

PeriodMe
2025-01-01 to 2029-12-31
48%
2022-10-10 to 2024-12-31
50%
2030-01-01 to 2039-12-31
26%
2040-01-01 to 2059-12-31
12%
2060-01-01 to 2099-12-31
8%
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor

Forecast Timeline

Total Forecasters 95
Authors:
Opened:Oct 8, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2125
Scheduled resolution:Jan 2, 2125