67 forecasters

How many Frontier AI labs will there be on Dec 31, 2025?

Current estimate

6 labs

No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.

Authors:

dschwarz PeterWildeford will_aldred

Opened:

May 17, 2023

Closes:

Dec 31, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Dec 31, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

May 19, 2023

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