Question
How many Frontier AI labs will there be on Dec 31, 2025?
Total Forecasters32
Community Prediction
5.35 labs
(4.08 labs - 6.81 labs)
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CDF
Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
lower 25% | 4.081 | — |
median | 5.347 | — |
upper 75% | 6.814 | — |
Upper bound | ||
>25 | 0.1% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:May 17, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:May 19, 2023
Authors:
Opened:May 17, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:May 19, 2023