Question

Will three or more Frontier AI Labs issue a joint statement committing to constrain their AI's capabilities before 2026?

Total Forecasters58
Community Prediction
10%
(6% - 17.2%)

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50%
community: 10%
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Opened:May 17, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:May 19, 2023