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14
comments
42
forecasters
How many nuclear weapon states will there be in 2030?
9
49%
10
35%
11
9.1%
4 others
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Key Factors
Question Info
Timeline
1d
1w
2m
all
9
10
11
Others (4)
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Authors:
NathanpmYoung
Opened:
Oct 14, 2023
Closes:
Dec 31, 2029
Scheduled resolution:
Jan 1, 2030
Geopolitics
Nuclear Technology & Risks
News Match
Why is there so much talk about nuclear weapons this week?
CNN
•
Nov 1, 2025
The 9 countries with nuclear weapons as US set to resume testing after 30 years
Independent
•
Oct 31, 2025
The US is unlikely to test nuclear weapons, despite what Trump says
New Scientist
•
Oct 31, 2025
Show More News
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about Metaculus NewsMatch
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