Questions
Tournaments
Services
News
Questions
Tournaments
Questions
Questions
More
Log in
Sign Up
a
/
文
Log in
Sign Up
10
comments
43
forecasters
What will be the total number of air incursions into the ADIZ between January 1, 2024 and May 31, 2024?
community
560
result
743
Share
Comments
Timeline
In the News
Key Factors
Question Info
Timeline
1d
1w
2m
all
Resolution Criteria
Background Info
Follow
embed
Authors:
PhilippSchoenegger
Opened:
Dec 1, 2023
Closes:
Feb 29, 2024
Resolved:
Jun 1, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:
Jan 1, 2024
Global Pulse Tournament
Geopolitics
🏆 2021-2025 Leaderboard
News Match
China Releases Satellite Photos of Suspected Military Targets
Newsweek
•
Nov 5, 2025
US Ally Shadows China Spy Ship Sailing Around Territory
Newsweek
•
Nov 5, 2025
Chinese Communist Party’s Military Mobilizes
PJ Media
•
Nov 3, 2025
Show More News
Learn more
about Metaculus NewsMatch
Similar Questions
On how many days in the following years will China carry out “reactionary” air incursions into Taiwan’s air defense identification zone?
2024
113
2025
118
31
forecasters
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the following years?
2025
No
2026
0.3%
2028
12%
2 others
885
forecasters
Will armed conflicts between the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) lead to at least 100 deaths before 2026?
1%
chance
259
Show More Questions