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111
112
forecasters
111 comments
112 forecasters
Spring 2026 FutureEval Bot Tournament
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How many distinct NATO member states will formally request Article 4 consultations citing the 2026 Iran conflict before May 1, 2026?
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35%
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51%
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Current estimate
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14%
chance
3 comments
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Another U.S.–Iran face-to-face meeting by June 6?
20%
chance
0 comments
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Non-Test Nuclear Detonation in Iran Before 2027?
1%
chance