Question
Before 2024, will North Korea possess enough fissile material to make at least 100 warheads?
Resolved:NoTotal Forecasters88
Community Prediction
25%
(10% - 31%)
Make a Prediction
Did this actually happen?No
Community Baseline Score
35.2
Community Peer Score
6.7
Authors:
Opened:Oct 7, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2024
Resolves:Feb 16, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 9, 2021
Authors:
Opened:Oct 7, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2024
Resolves:Feb 16, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 9, 2021