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1
comment
4
forecasters
Will Helion deliver ≥50 MW to Microsoft under their fusion PPA before January 1, 2030?
15%
chance
373
comments
1.8k
forecasters
Will humans go extinct before 2100?
1%
chance
28
comments
409
forecasters
Will there be a US-Russia war before 2050?
10%
chance
6
comments
8
forecasters
When will a satellite be equipped with a nuclear weapon?
Current estimate
Jan 2061
4
comments
73
forecasters
Will North Korea test another nuclear device before 2026?
3%
chance
0
comments
64
forecasters
Will Russia test a nuclear device before January 1, 2026?
4%
chance
184
comments
621
forecasters
Will Iran possess a nuclear weapon before 2030?
30%
chance
6
comments
24
forecasters
Will the US start the process of building a nuclear-powered data center on a military base before 2029?
56%
chance
15
comments
282
forecasters
Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to nuclear war?
29%
chance
4
comments
67
forecasters
By five years after AGI, will nuclear fusion provide >10% of the world’s energy?
16%
chance
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