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Q1 AI Benchmarking Results: Pros Crush Bots

10
1 comment1
Q1 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament

Will Iran possess a nuclear weapon before 2030?

Key Factor

China Needs to keep Iran as a Proxy

35%chance
12% this week

Key Factor

China Needs to keep Iran as a Proxy

Will Iran possess a nuclear weapon before 2041?

78%chance
9% this week

Analysis of Automated Prompt Engineering for Forecasting

12
2 comments2

Contributed by the Dorsal Heart's Community Page community.

Will The USDA Release A Gene Drive To Deal With An Agricultural Pest Before Jan 1, 2029?

20%chance

Contributed by the Dorsal Heart's Community Page community.

Beyond Meat Will Post A Profit For Which Of The Following Quarters?

Q3 202515%
Q4 202520%
Q1 202630%
and 1 other

Contributed by the Dorsal Heart's Community Page community.

A "Pain Free" Animal-Based Product Will Be Sold To The Public By When?

<=20281%
2029-20305%
2031-203210%
and 4 others

What will the highest percentage of overall compute capacity held by a single organisation be on January 1, 2028?

22.3%
4.7 % this week

What percentage of AI computational performance will be located in the United States on January 1, 2028?

68.4%
2.3 % this week

When will Nintendo release a console capable of 4K output?

result05 Jun 2025 12:00