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How much additional photovoltaic capacity will China install during July 2025?

result11.04 GW

Key Factor

China’s State Grid's revised annual projections imply under 8 GW monthly additions until the end of the year.

condition

What percentage of Taiwan Semiconductor's employees will be located outside of Taiwan or China at the end of 2029?

25.3%

→←2.5 % this week

Will a city with a population of over 1 million successfully use a quadratic funding mechanism to allocate public funds for infrastructure projects before 2031?

15.1%chance

5.9% this week

Key Factor

Short timeline to convince local officials and set everything in motion

Before January 1, 2031, will a unified digital identity protocol enable interaction with at least three different governance frameworks (financial, legal, and civic)?

20%chance

4% this week

Will the U.S. "Microgrid as a Service" (MaaS) market exceed $1.5 billion before 2030?

60%chance

10% this week

What will be the number of operational satellites in each year?

What percentage of their January 2024 search interest will these longevity interventions retain in January 2030?

Epigenetic reprogramming99.7

Senolytics92

Ozempic91.6

and 3 others

Will Virgin Galactic file for bankruptcy protection before 2026?

25%chance

23% this week

When will the USAF's Next Generation Air Dominance (NGAD) fighter aircraft reach initial operating capability?

Mar 2031

How much additional photovoltaic capacity will China install during July 2025?

Key Factor

Key Factor

CTs Deep Learning Revenue

CTs AI Extinction Before 2100

CTs AI Extinction Before 2100

What percentage of Taiwan Semiconductor's employees will be located outside of Taiwan or China at the end of 2029?

Will a city with a population of over 1 million successfully use a quadratic funding mechanism to allocate public funds for infrastructure projects before 2031?

Key Factor

Key Factor

Before January 1, 2031, will a unified digital identity protocol enable interaction with at least three different governance frameworks (financial, legal, and civic)?

Will the U.S. "Microgrid as a Service" (MaaS) market exceed $1.5 billion before 2030?

What will be the number of operational satellites in each year?

What percentage of their January 2024 search interest will these longevity interventions retain in January 2030?

Will Virgin Galactic file for bankruptcy protection before 2026?

When will the USAF's Next Generation Air Dominance (NGAD) fighter aircraft reach initial operating capability?

How much additional photovoltaic capacity will China install during July 2025?

Key Factor

Key Factor

CTs Deep Learning Revenue

CTs AI Extinction Before 2100

CTs AI Extinction Before 2100

What percentage of Taiwan Semiconductor's employees will be located outside of Taiwan or China at the end of 2029?

Will a city with a population of over 1 million successfully use a quadratic funding mechanism to allocate public funds for infrastructure projects before 2031?

Key Factor

Key Factor

Before January 1, 2031, will a unified digital identity protocol enable interaction with at least three different governance frameworks (financial, legal, and civic)?

Will the U.S. "Microgrid as a Service" (MaaS) market exceed $1.5 billion before 2030?

What will be the number of operational satellites in each year?

What percentage of their January 2024 search interest will these longevity interventions retain in January 2030?

Will Virgin Galactic file for bankruptcy protection before 2026?

When will the USAF's Next Generation Air Dominance (NGAD) fighter aircraft reach initial operating capability?