• Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Services
  • News
  • Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Questions
  • Questions
Feed Home
👥
Communities
🏆
Leaderboards
Topics
🗳️
US Democracy Index
❓
Top Questions
⏳
AI 2027
🗞️
In the News
🦾
AI Forecasting Benchmark
📈
Indexes
💎
Metaculus Cup
🌍
AI Pathways
🏛️
POTUS Predictions
categories
🦠
Health & Pandemics
🌱
Environment & Climate
☢️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
See all categories
  • About
  • API
  • FAQ
  • forecasting resources
  • For Journalists
  • Careers
GuidelinesPrivacy PolicyTerms of Use
ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature
45 comments
170 forecasters

When will "Tesla Bots" be available to US consumers?

Current estimate
16 Mar 2029
condition

US Electric Vehicle Sales Share >35% in 2030?

5 forecasters
if yes
if no

US 2030 Electricity Below 11 cents per kWh?

55%
55%

US 2030 Electricity Below 11 cents per kWh?

22%
22%
1
0 comments
5
5 forecasters
6 comments
4 forecasters

Will China publicly sell domestic AI accelerators to Russia by 2030?

74%chance

Contributed by the AI Warning Signs community.

4 comments
13 forecasters

Will an AI system self-replicate on the open internet like a computer virus before 2030?

65%chance
20% this week
3 comments
6 forecasters

Will a Russian-developed LLM reach the top 100 on LMSYS Chatbot Arena before 2027?

21%chance
14% this week
3 comments
2 forecasters

Will a frontier AI developer publicly accuse a Russian actor of stealing their model weights before 2030?

60%chance
10% this week
0 comments
33 forecasters

Will the following major cloud providers buy AI accelerators fabricated in China before 2028?

OVH30%
Google Cloud16%
Microsoft Azure13%
2 comments
40 forecasters

Will the following major cloud providers buy AI accelerators designed by a Chinese firm before 2028?

OVH25%
Microsoft Azure5%
Amazon Web Services5%

Contributed by the Unjournal Forecasting community.

0 comments

If the price of the highest-quality hamburger-imitating plant products fell by 10% everywhere, how many more/fewer chickens would be consumed globally in the year 2030 (as a +/- percent)?

Current estimate

Contributed by the Unjournal Forecasting community.

0 comments

Median prob. among Unjournal experts: “If the price of the... hamburger-imitating plant products fell by 10% ... how many more/fewer chickens consumed globally in 2030 (+/- percent)?

Current estimate