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30 comments
85 forecasters

Will Republicans support embryo selection for intelligence more than Democrats?

50%chance
6% this week
24 comments
91 forecasters

Will Israel be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

82%chance
86 comments
255 forecasters

By 2050, will genetic engineering techniques be available which can raise IQ by 10 points?

65%chance
2 comments
31 forecasters

By 2050, Will at least 20% of US births be screened as embryos to detect genetic disorders or disabilities?

60%chance
1 comment
17 forecasters

When will a person who was not screened or genetically modified as an embryo file a lawsuit against their parents for not doing so?

Current estimate
Mar 2057
11 comments
61 forecasters

Will the USA be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

5%chance
38 comments
58 forecasters

By the year 2100, will any jurisdiction enforce requirements for all births to be genetically engineered?

55%chance
14 comments
65 forecasters

Will Israel be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

40%chance
38 comments
118 forecasters

When will 100 babies be born whose embryos were selected for genetic scores for intelligence?

Current estimate
16 Aug 2028
25 comments
78 forecasters

Will China be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

16%chance