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1
comment
4
forecasters
When will epigenome editing be used in human embryos as a therapeutic approach for genetic diseases?
Current estimate
Mar 2035
16
comments
72
forecasters
When will the first human baby from stem cell-derived gametes be born?
Current estimate
Sep 2033
9
comments
46
forecasters
When will we see the first live birth from human in vitro gametogenesis?
Current estimate
Sep 2032
17
comments
38
forecasters
When will the first human baby be born, whose embryo was polygenically selected from a cohort of at least 50 simultaneously obtained ova?
Current estimate
Oct 2034
24
comments
91
forecasters
Will Israel be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?
85%
chance
38
comments
58
forecasters
By the year 2100, will any jurisdiction enforce requirements for all births to be genetically engineered?
55%
chance
29
comments
70
forecasters
Will most of the first 100 IQ-selected "designer babies" be born in China?
30%
chance
2
comments
31
forecasters
By 2050, Will at least 20% of US births be screened as embryos to detect genetic disorders or disabilities?
60%
chance
86
comments
251
forecasters
By 2050, will genetic engineering techniques be available which can raise IQ by 10 points?
60%
chance
14
comments
66
forecasters
Will Israel be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?
40%
chance
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