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1 comment
4 forecasters

When will epigenome editing be used in human embryos as a therapeutic approach for genetic diseases?

Current estimate
Mar 2035
16 comments
72 forecasters

When will the first human baby from stem cell-derived gametes be born?

Current estimate
Sep 2033
9 comments
46 forecasters

When will we see the first live birth from human in vitro gametogenesis?

Current estimate
Sep 2032
17 comments
38 forecasters

When will the first human baby be born, whose embryo was polygenically selected from a cohort of at least 50 simultaneously obtained ova?

Current estimate
Oct 2034
24 comments
91 forecasters

Will Israel be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

85%chance
38 comments
58 forecasters

By the year 2100, will any jurisdiction enforce requirements for all births to be genetically engineered?

55%chance
29 comments
70 forecasters

Will most of the first 100 IQ-selected "designer babies" be born in China?

30%chance
2 comments
31 forecasters

By 2050, Will at least 20% of US births be screened as embryos to detect genetic disorders or disabilities?

60%chance
86 comments
251 forecasters

By 2050, will genetic engineering techniques be available which can raise IQ by 10 points?

60%chance
14 comments
66 forecasters

Will Israel be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

40%chance