Question Feed | Metaculus

Questions
Tournaments
Services
News

Questions
Tournaments

Questions

Questions

POTUS Predictions

Fiscal Showdown

Topics

Bright Line Watch

🇹🇼🇨🇳

The Taiwan Tinderbox

Forecast With GiveWell

categories

Health & Pandemics

Environment & Climate

Nuclear Technology & Risks

Artificial Intelligence

See all categories

About
API

FAQ
forecasting resources
For Journalists

Contact
Careers

Guidelines Privacy Policy Terms of Use

When will an AI first pass a long, informed, adversarial Turing test?

How many years after the silver Turing Test is passed will an AGI system be developed?

When will the first general AI system be devised, tested, and publicly announced?

Key Factor

China starts a war with Taiwan

Key Factor

China starts a war with Taiwan

Will one of the first AGI claim to be conscious?

3 AI labs constrain capabilities before 2026?

Date of Artificial General Intelligence

Date of Artificial General Intelligence

7

Will the "silver" Turing Test be passed by 2026?

This question is closed for forecasting. Latest Community prediction is displayed.

Will a 'Turing Test' for plant-based meat be passed if such a test is conducted by April 2023?

When will the Loebner Prize award a silver medal for an AI that passes the Turing test?

Before 2030, will an AI complete the Turing Test in the Kurzweil/Kapor Longbet?

When will an AI pass the laugh test?