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When will an AI first pass a long, informed, adversarial Turing test?

When will the first general AI system be devised, tested, and publicly announced?

Key Factor

China starts a war with Taiwan

Key Factor

China starts a war with Taiwan

How many years after the silver Turing Test is passed will an AGI system be developed?

Will one of the first AGI claim to be conscious?

When will the first weakly general AI system be devised, tested, and publicly announced?

Key Factor

China starts a war with the land of Taiwan BEFORE said weakly general AI

Key Factor

China starts a war with the land of Taiwan BEFORE said weakly general AI

Will the "silver" Turing Test be passed by 2026?

This question is closed for forecasting. Latest Community prediction is displayed.

Will a 'Turing Test' for plant-based meat be passed if such a test is conducted by April 2023?

When will the Loebner Prize award a silver medal for an AI that passes the Turing test?

Before 2030, will an AI complete the Turing Test in the Kurzweil/Kapor Longbet?

When will an AI pass the laugh test?