When will the first general AI system be devised, tested, and publicly announced?29 Sep 2030 (23 Mar 2028 - Aug 2036)221671671 comments1.9k1.9k forecasters29 Sep 2030 (23 Mar 2028 - Aug 2036)
If the first AGI is developed by a publicly traded company, will the company have performed at least 1.5x as well as the global equities market over the prior 12-2 months?82% chance51010 comments5555 forecasters82%chance