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What will the Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Business Outlook Survey current general activity diffusion index read for August 2026?

20.2 (7.87 - 31.7)

144

144 forecasters

Resolved47.4

What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for these biweekly periods of Q3 2026?

1

41

41 forecasters

What will the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate be in Australia for July 2026?

4.4% (4.34 - 4.45)

7

7 forecasters

Resolved4.469%

What will be the average 30-year fixed rate mortgage for the week ending August 27, 2026?

1

8

8 forecasters

How many jobs will the U.S. economy add in August 2026?

34k jobs (14k - 52k)

1

9

9 forecasters

34k jobs

(14k - 52k)

Will USTR publish a final overcapacity determination before September 24, 2026?

12.1% chance

3

3 forecasters

12.1%chance

Labor Automation Forecasting Hub: July 2026 Updates

7

What will be the percentage change in the S&P 500 from close of Aug 26, 2026 to open of Aug 31, 2026?

0.356% (-0.505 - 1.18)

3

70

70 forecasters

0.356%

(-0.505 - 1.18)

Will the ECB raise its deposit facility rate at its July 2026 monetary policy meeting?

result: no

128 128 comments

128

128 forecasters

ResolvedNo

How many jobs will the U.S. economy add in July 2026?

59.5k Employees (29.4k - 90.7k)

1

6

6 forecasters

Resolved-22.8625k Employees

What will the ECB EUR/USD reference rate be on July 23, 2026?

1.14 $/€ (1.13 - 1.15)

119 119 comments

121

121 forecasters

Resolved1.1392 $/€

What will the U.S. 10-year Treasury constant maturity yield (DGS10) be on July 23, 2026?

4.56% (4.43 - 4.69)

116 116 comments

120

120 forecasters

Resolved4.71%

Will Jerome Powell cease to be a governor of the Federal Reserve Board before his term ends?

15% chance

3

36

36 forecasters

15%chance

What will the 10-year U.S. Treasury constant maturity yield be on June 25, 2026?

4.46 value (4.34 - 4.6)

88

88 forecasters

Resolved4.4 value

What will the upper limit of the federal funds target range be on the following dates?

5

37

37 forecasters

Will the Federal Reserve raise the federal funds target range before July 30, 2026?

result: no

1

15

15 forecasters

ResolvedNo

Will Turkey's inflation rate remain above 25% during 2026?

91.4% chance

-1

10

10 forecasters

91.4%chance

What will the average interest rate on the US federal government's total debt be at the end of these fiscal years?

60

60 forecasters

What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for these biweekly periods of Q2 2026?

59

59 forecasters

What will the US effective fed funds rate be in the following years?

6

32

32 forecasters

Who will Trump nominate as next Fed Chair?

2

12

12 forecasters

What will be the value of "Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 30-Year Constant Maturity, Quoted on an Investment Basis, Inflation-Indexed" on 2026-05-14?

2.69 Percent (2.61 - 2.78)

34

34 forecasters

Resolved2.73 Percent