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Metaculus is an online forecasting platform focusing on topics of global importance.

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How many foreign visitors will fly to the United States in July 2026?

5.14M passengers (4.65M - 5.65M)

0 comments
116
116 forecasters
5.14M passengers
(4.65M - 5.65M)

What will the Japan Economy Watchers Current Index be in the August release?

0 comments
130
130 forecasters

What will Democrats' lead be in the congressional generic ballot on July 14, 2026?

6% (4.7 - 7.2)

0 comments
128
128 forecasters
6%
(4.7 - 7.2)

Will the S&P 500 close at or above 8,000 on December 31, 2026?

60% chance

1
11 comment
15
15 forecasters
60%chance

How many foreign visitors will fly to the United States in June 2026?

4.71M passengers (4.32M - 5.23M)

0 comments
119
119 forecasters
4.71M passengers
(4.32M - 5.23M)

How many visitor arrivals will the government of Fiji report for June 2026?

92.3k visitors (86.5k - 97.6k)

0 comments
115
115 forecasters
92.3k visitors
(86.5k - 97.6k)

How many jobs will the U.S. economy add in July 2026?

0 comments
2
2 forecasters

Will the FAO Food Price Index reach a new yearly high for July 2026?

0 comments
5
5 forecasters
%chance

What will the Tokyo core CPI (excluding fresh food) year-on-year inflation rate be for June 2026?

1.3 value (1.1 - 1.6)

11 comment
84
84 forecasters
Resolved1.6 value

Which month will have the highest officially reported TSMC consolidated net revenue among May, June, and July 2026?

0 comments
114
114 forecasters

What will be the rise in average hourly earnings for all employees on U.S. private nonfarm payrolls from June 2026 to July 2026?

0.12 $ (0.08 - 0.16)

0 comments
107
107 forecasters
0.12 $
(0.08 - 0.16)

What will the unemployment rate among new graduates be in the following years?

1
1010 comments
36
36 forecasters

What will SpaceX's stock price be at the end of August 2026?

149 $ (128 - 172)

1
1515 comments
123
123 forecasters
149 $
(128 - 172)

What will real GDP growth be in the United States in the following years?

6
1717 comments
28
28 forecasters

What will be Donald Trump's approval rating on July 14, 2026?

39.3% (38.5 - 40.1)

2
33 comments
14
14 forecasters
39.3%
(38.5 - 40.1)

What will be the World Bank monthly price of liquid sulphur (Tampa) for Q3 2026?

88 comments
54
54 forecasters

Will the US and India finalise a new bilateral trade agreement before August 2026?

28% chance

77 comments
98
98 forecasters
28%chance

What will the percent change in the US employment levels be in the following years relative to 2025?

4
3232 comments
46
46 forecasters

How many building permits will California issue in March through May 2026?

27.4k Building Permits (26.7k - 28.6k)

3
2121 comments
105
105 forecasters
Resolved27.049k Building Permits

What will be the closing price of Crude Oil WTI (in USD per barrel) on December 31, 2026?

83.1 USD (75.6 - 92.8)

33 comments
17
17 forecasters
83.1 USD
(75.6 - 92.8)

What will the percent change of the hourly median wage of US service sales representatives be relative to 2025 in the following years?

1
77 comments
26
26 forecasters

What will the seasonally adjusted U-3 unemployment rate be in the United States in the following months?

6
8484 comments
46
46 forecasters