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565 comments
1.7k forecasters

When will the first weakly general AI system be devised, tested, and publicly announced?

Current estimate
18 Oct 2027
630 comments
1.8k forecasters

When will the first general AI system be devised, tested, and publicly announced?

Current estimate
Jun 2033

Monitor AI’s Expansion Across Society With the AI Diffusion Index

5
66 comments
62 comments
164 forecasters

When will we have transformative AI?

Current estimate
Sep 2043
9 comments
79 forecasters

How many e-prints on AI Safety, Interpretability or Explainability will be published on arXiv from 2021 through 2026?

Latest estimate
7121

This question is closed for forecasting.