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Artificial Intelligence
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565
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1.7k
forecasters
When will the first weakly general AI system be devised, tested, and publicly announced?
Current estimate
18 Oct 2027
630
comments
1.8k
forecasters
When will the first general AI system be devised, tested, and publicly announced?
Current estimate
Jun 2033
Monitor AI’s Expansion Across Society With the AI Diffusion Index
5
6
6
comments
62
comments
164
forecasters
When will we have transformative AI?
Current estimate
Sep 2043
9
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79
forecasters
How many e-prints on AI Safety, Interpretability or Explainability will be published on arXiv from 2021 through 2026?
Latest estimate
7121
This question is closed for forecasting.