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When will the first weakly general AI system be devised, tested, and publicly announced?

27 Jul 2028 (30 Nov 2026 - Aug 2032)

223
621621 comments
1.7k
1.7k forecasters
27 Jul 2028
(30 Nov 2026 - Aug 2032)

Which of Scott Aaronson's five AI worlds will first come to pass before 2050?

40
173173 comments
279
279 forecasters

When will gross world product exceed every previous year by 30% due to AI?

Jun 2039 (13 Jul 2030 - Jan 2063)

26
6565 comments
175
175 forecasters
Jun 2039
(13 Jul 2030 - Jan 2063)

When will the first general AI system be devised, tested, and publicly announced?

Dec 2032 (22 Apr 2029 - Aug 2040)

219
654654 comments
1.9k
1.9k forecasters
Dec 2032
(22 Apr 2029 - Aug 2040)

When will AIs program programs that can program AIs?

05 Feb 2028 (28 Jul 2026 - Sep 2031)

95
7676 comments
640
640 forecasters
05 Feb 2028
(28 Jul 2026 - Sep 2031)