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5 comments
3 forecasters

When, before January 1, 2029, will Uber announce a partnership with a second autonomous vehicle company (besides Waymo)?

Current estimate
13 Apr 2026
103 comments
198 forecasters

When will self-driving taxis be available to Metaculus users?

00
5 comments
58 forecasters

Who will win the bet between Gary Marcus and Nathan Young on the progress of Waymo vs Tesla robotaxis?

Gary Marcus win87.4%
Nathan Young win10.5%
Other2.1%
15 comments
62 forecasters

On January 1, 2026, in how many US states will Waymo's rider-only ride-hailing service be available to the general public?

Current estimate
4.36 states
14 comments
65 forecasters

On January 1, 2026, will Cruise operate a rider-only ride-hailing service anywhere in the United States?

0.1%chance
7 comments
76 forecasters

When will self-driving taxis be available in at least one large German city?

Current estimate
08 Apr 2029
21 comments
30 forecasters

Long bet rerun: will driverless cars be commercially available in Las Vegas, NV by May 28, 2029?

86.6%chance
8 comments
36 forecasters

What will be the share of global light vehicles sold which are zero-emission vehicles in the following years?

65 comments
30 forecasters

On December 31, 2024, will Cruise operate a rider-only ride-hailing service anywhere in the United States?

resultNo
15 comments
15 forecasters

Will Tesla launch a self-driving ride-hailing service in Austin, Texas before July 2025?

resultYes