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9
comments
54
forecasters
By five years after AGI, will an engineered pandemic have infected one billion people?
3%
chance
2%
this week
4
comments
21
forecasters
Will a biologic therapy targeting Mycobacterium tuberculosis be tested in humans before 2038?
61.8%
chance
Sharpen the Respiratory Outlook for 2025/26
0
comments
Respiratory Outlook 2025/26
condition
Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2026?
24
forecasters
if yes
if no
Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?
13%
13%
Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?
0%
0%
7
7
comments
24
24
forecasters
Respiratory Outlook 2024/25
55
comments
45
forecasters
What will be the worldwide number of confirmed monkeypox (mpox) infections per year?
This question is closed for forecasting.
79
comments
218
forecasters
How many human infections of monkeypox will be estimated to have occurred before 2023, worldwide?
community
104k
result
Ambiguous
2
comments
9
forecasters
Will a wild animal be infected with the New World screwworm in the contiguous US, before 2027?
44%
chance
3
comments
59
forecasters
What will be the global annual death rate (per 100,000 people) from infectious disease in the following years?
2
comments
159
forecasters
Ragnarök Question Series: if a global biological catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?
7%
chance
27
comments
225
forecasters
Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?
23%
chance
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