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Respiratory Outlook October Update: Forecasts for Flu, COVID-19, RSV, and Measles This Season

6
0 comments
Respiratory Outlook 2025/26
condition

Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2026?

24 forecasters
if yes
if no

Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?

7%
7%

Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?

0%
0%
77 comments
24
24 forecasters
Respiratory Outlook 2024/25
4 comments
21 forecasters

Will a biologic therapy targeting Mycobacterium tuberculosis be tested in humans before 2038?

61.8%chance
2 comments
4 forecasters

When will these diseases be eradicated according to the WHO?

00
79 comments
218 forecasters

How many human infections of monkeypox will be estimated to have occurred before 2023, worldwide?

community
104k
result
Ambiguous

Sharpen the Respiratory Outlook for 2025/26

0 comments
Respiratory Outlook 2025/26
3 comments
9 forecasters

Will a wild animal be infected with the New World screwworm in the contiguous US, before 2027?

33%chance
0 comments
28 forecasters

Will an epidemic or agroterrorist attack on US agriculture cause at least $20 billion (2021 USD) in damage by 2040?

27%chance
55 comments
45 forecasters

What will be the worldwide number of confirmed monkeypox (mpox) infections per year?

This question is closed for forecasting.

12 comments
51 forecasters

How many pigs will be culled because of an infectious disease outbreak, in the largest such occurrence, between 2021 and 2023?

community
848k
result
231k