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ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature
9 comments
54 forecasters

By five years after AGI, will an engineered pandemic have infected one billion people?

3%chance
2% this week
4 comments
21 forecasters

Will a biologic therapy targeting Mycobacterium tuberculosis be tested in humans before 2038?

61.8%chance

Sharpen the Respiratory Outlook for 2025/26

0 comments
Respiratory Outlook 2025/26
condition

Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2026?

24 forecasters
if yes
if no

Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?

13%
13%

Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?

0%
0%
77 comments
24
24 forecasters
Respiratory Outlook 2024/25
55 comments
45 forecasters

What will be the worldwide number of confirmed monkeypox (mpox) infections per year?

This question is closed for forecasting.

79 comments
218 forecasters

How many human infections of monkeypox will be estimated to have occurred before 2023, worldwide?

community
104k
result
Ambiguous
2 comments
9 forecasters

Will a wild animal be infected with the New World screwworm in the contiguous US, before 2027?

44%chance
3 comments
59 forecasters

What will be the global annual death rate (per 100,000 people) from infectious disease in the following years?

2 comments
159 forecasters

Ragnarök Question Series: if a global biological catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

7%chance
27 comments
225 forecasters

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?

23%chance