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Respiratory Outlook October Update: Forecasts for Flu, COVID-19, RSV, and Measles This Season
6
0
comments
Respiratory Outlook 2025/26
condition
Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2026?
24
forecasters
if yes
if no
Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?
7%
7%
Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?
0%
0%
7
7
comments
24
24
forecasters
Respiratory Outlook 2024/25
0
comments
28
forecasters
Will an epidemic or agroterrorist attack on US agriculture cause at least $20 billion (2021 USD) in damage by 2040?
27%
chance
2
comments
4
forecasters
When will these diseases be eradicated according to the WHO?
00
4
comments
83
forecasters
Pandemic Series: new mosquito-borne pathogen by 2019?
result
No
55
comments
45
forecasters
What will be the worldwide number of confirmed monkeypox (mpox) infections per year?
This question is closed for forecasting.
4
comments
21
forecasters
Will a biologic therapy targeting Mycobacterium tuberculosis be tested in humans before 2038?
61.8%
chance
Sharpen the Respiratory Outlook for 2025/26
0
comments
Respiratory Outlook 2025/26
3
comments
9
forecasters
Will a wild animal be infected with the New World screwworm in the contiguous US, before 2027?
33%
chance
5
comments
152
forecasters
What type of pathogen will cause the next pandemic?
Orthomyxoviridae
58%
Other 24 known HIVF
25%
Coronaviridae
15%
1 other
This question is closed for forecasting.
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