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condition
Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2026?
24
forecasters
if yes
if no
Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?
7%
7%
Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?
0%
0%
7
7
comments
24
24
forecasters
Respiratory Outlook 2024/25
2
comments
4
forecasters
When will these diseases be eradicated according to the WHO?
00
16
comments
122
forecasters
Pandemic series: efficient human-to-human transmission of H5N1?
result
No
5
comments
152
forecasters
What type of pathogen will cause the next pandemic?
Orthomyxoviridae
58%
Other 24 known HIVF
25%
Coronaviridae
15%
1 other
This question is closed for forecasting.
27
comments
225
forecasters
Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?
22.8%
chance
4
comments
83
forecasters
Pandemic Series: new mosquito-borne pathogen by 2019?
result
No
1
comment
76
forecasters
Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new airborne pathogen?
result
No
4
comments
21
forecasters
Will a biologic therapy targeting Mycobacterium tuberculosis be tested in humans before 2038?
61.8%
chance
2
comments
66
forecasters
Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new blood-borne pathogen?
result
No
8
comments
180
forecasters
Pandemic series: a new Spanish Flu?
9%
chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
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