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condition
Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2026?
24
forecasters
if yes
if no
Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?
7%
7%
Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?
0%
0%
7
7
comments
24
24
forecasters
Respiratory Outlook 2024/25
4
comments
83
forecasters
Pandemic Series: new mosquito-borne pathogen by 2019?
result
No
2
comments
4
forecasters
When will these diseases be eradicated according to the WHO?
00
16
comments
122
forecasters
Pandemic series: efficient human-to-human transmission of H5N1?
result
No
5
comments
152
forecasters
What type of pathogen will cause the next pandemic?
Orthomyxoviridae
58%
Other 24 known HIVF
25%
Coronaviridae
15%
1 other
This question is closed for forecasting.
12
comments
51
forecasters
How many pigs will be culled because of an infectious disease outbreak, in the largest such occurrence, between 2021 and 2023?
community
848k
result
231k
0
comments
15
forecasters
Five years after AGI, what will be the global annual death rate (per 100,000 people) from infectious disease?
Current estimate
69 deaths per 100k
3
comments
59
forecasters
What will be the global annual death rate (per 100,000 people) from infectious disease in the following years?
4
comments
21
forecasters
Will a biologic therapy targeting Mycobacterium tuberculosis be tested in humans before 2038?
61.8%
chance
FluSight 2022/23 Tournament Conclusion
5
4
4
comments
FluSight Challenge 2022/23
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