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What will be the global annual death rate (per 100,000 people) from infectious disease in the following years?

condition

Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2026?

24 forecasters

if yes

if no

Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?

13%

Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?

7 7 comments

24 forecasters

Respiratory Outlook 2024/25

4 comments

21 forecasters

Will a biologic therapy targeting Mycobacterium tuberculosis be tested in humans before 2038?

61.8%chance

0 comments

15 forecasters

Five years after AGI, what will be the global annual death rate (per 100,000 people) from infectious disease?

Current estimate

68.8 deaths per 100k

20 comments

160 forecasters

Will synthetic biological weapons infect 100 people by 2030?

25%chance

27 comments

225 forecasters

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?

23%chance

5 comments

152 forecasters

What type of pathogen will cause the next pandemic?

Orthomyxoviridae58%

Other 24 known HIVF25%

Coronaviridae15%

This question is closed for forecasting.

5 comments

155 forecasters

Pandemic series: a bioterror attack against crops or livestock by 2020?

resultNo

4 comments

42 forecasters

How many cattle will be culled because of an infectious disease outbreak, in the largest such occurrence, between 2021 and 2023?

community

8967

result

Ambiguous

2 comments

4 forecasters

What will be the global annual death rate (per 100,000 people) from infectious disease in the following years?

Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2026?

Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?

Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?

Will a biologic therapy targeting Mycobacterium tuberculosis be tested in humans before 2038?

Five years after AGI, what will be the global annual death rate (per 100,000 people) from infectious disease?

Will synthetic biological weapons infect 100 people by 2030?

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?

What type of pathogen will cause the next pandemic?

Pandemic series: a bioterror attack against crops or livestock by 2020?

How many cattle will be culled because of an infectious disease outbreak, in the largest such occurrence, between 2021 and 2023?

When will these diseases be eradicated according to the WHO?

What will be the global annual death rate (per 100,000 people) from infectious disease in the following years?

Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2026?

Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?

Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?

Will a biologic therapy targeting Mycobacterium tuberculosis be tested in humans before 2038?

Five years after AGI, what will be the global annual death rate (per 100,000 people) from infectious disease?

Will synthetic biological weapons infect 100 people by 2030?

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?

What type of pathogen will cause the next pandemic?

Pandemic series: a bioterror attack against crops or livestock by 2020?

How many cattle will be culled because of an infectious disease outbreak, in the largest such occurrence, between 2021 and 2023?

When will these diseases be eradicated according to the WHO?