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condition

Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2026?

24 forecasters
if yes
if no

Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?

7%
7%

Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?

0%
0%
77 comments
24
24 forecasters
Respiratory Outlook 2024/25
2 comments
4 forecasters

When will these diseases be eradicated according to the WHO?

00
16 comments
122 forecasters

Pandemic series: efficient human-to-human transmission of H5N1?

resultNo
5 comments
152 forecasters

What type of pathogen will cause the next pandemic?

Orthomyxoviridae58%
Other 24 known HIVF25%
Coronaviridae15%

This question is closed for forecasting.

27 comments
225 forecasters

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?

22.8%chance
4 comments
83 forecasters

Pandemic Series: new mosquito-borne pathogen by 2019?

resultNo
1 comment
76 forecasters

Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new airborne pathogen?

resultNo
4 comments
21 forecasters

Will a biologic therapy targeting Mycobacterium tuberculosis be tested in humans before 2038?

61.8%chance
2 comments
66 forecasters

Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new blood-borne pathogen?

resultNo
8 comments
180 forecasters

Pandemic series: a new Spanish Flu?

9%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.