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condition

Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2026?

24 forecasters
if yes
if no

Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?

7%
7%

Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?

0%
0%
77 comments
24
24 forecasters
Respiratory Outlook 2024/25
4 comments
83 forecasters

Pandemic Series: new mosquito-borne pathogen by 2019?

resultNo
2 comments
4 forecasters

When will these diseases be eradicated according to the WHO?

00
16 comments
122 forecasters

Pandemic series: efficient human-to-human transmission of H5N1?

resultNo
5 comments
152 forecasters

What type of pathogen will cause the next pandemic?

Orthomyxoviridae58%
Other 24 known HIVF25%
Coronaviridae15%

This question is closed for forecasting.

12 comments
51 forecasters

How many pigs will be culled because of an infectious disease outbreak, in the largest such occurrence, between 2021 and 2023?

community
848k
result
231k
0 comments
15 forecasters

Five years after AGI, what will be the global annual death rate (per 100,000 people) from infectious disease?

Current estimate
69 deaths per 100k
3 comments
59 forecasters

What will be the global annual death rate (per 100,000 people) from infectious disease in the following years?

4 comments
21 forecasters

Will a biologic therapy targeting Mycobacterium tuberculosis be tested in humans before 2038?

61.8%chance

FluSight 2022/23 Tournament Conclusion

5
44 comments
FluSight Challenge 2022/23