Will a wild animal be infected with the New World screwworm in the contiguous US, before 2027?66.7% chance755 comments3636 forecasters66.7%chance
In the InfoGripe bulletin published on or immediately before June 25, 2026, which respiratory virus will be the single most prevalent among positive SRAG cases nationally over the most recent 4-week window?0 comments8787 forecasters
Will at least 5 non-passengers be linked to the MV Hondius hantavirus outbreak before August 2026?0.1% chance35454 comments213213 forecasters0.1%chance
Will a case of Bundibugyo Ebola disease be first confirmed in the US before 2027?9% chance11010 comments6060 forecasters9%chance
Will WHO declare hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern before 2027?0.3% chance51919 comments102102 forecasters0.3%chance
How many measles cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?3507 cases (2961 - 4369)11212 comments2525 forecasters3507 cases (2961 - 4369)
When will a human cure for herpes simplex for oral region be available for purchase?Oct 2032 (27 Jul 2029 - Jun 2036)622 comments99 forecastersOct 2032 (27 Jul 2029 - Jun 2036)
Pandemic series: a major naturally-originated pandemic by 2026?result: yes434949 comments238238 forecastersResolvedYes
How many named variants of SARS-COV-2 in its first 10 years?15.5 variants (14 - 20.3)499 comments1818 forecasters15.5 variants (14 - 20.3)
Will the WHO declare a Public Health Emergency of International Concern in 2026?result: yes51717 comments763763 forecastersResolvedYes
Will WHO declare the spread of monkeypox a Public Health Emergency of International Concern before 2023?result: yes274141 comments143143 forecastersResolvedYes
By five years after AGI, will an engineered pandemic have infected one billion people?18.9% chance51010 comments5858 forecasters18.9%chance
How many Clade I Mpox cases will have been reported in the US before 2027?38 cases (31 - 50)1111 comments1414 forecasters38 cases (31 - 50)
Respiratory Outlook April Update: Measles Surge Slows as Flu Season Ends with Likely Moderate Severity50 comments
Will CDC report at least one newly identified human infection with a novel influenza A virus in the United States before May 1, 2026?result: no121121 comments122122 forecastersResolvedNo
Will WHO Disease Outbreak News publish a new mpox-related item before May 1, 2026?result: no108108 comments109109 forecastersResolvedNo
Which countries will confirm Clade I mpox infections before January 1, 2025?2121 comments1919 forecasters
How many human infections of monkeypox will be estimated to have occurred before 2023, worldwide?104k (80.3k - 160k)377979 comments218218 forecasters104k (80.3k - 160k)
How many cattle will be culled because of an infectious disease outbreak, in the largest such occurrence, between 2021 and 2023?8967 (2609 - 34.2k)744 comments4242 forecasters8967 (2609 - 34.2k)
Before 2025, will the following occur relating to pasteurized milk and avian influenza H5N1 in the United States?41616 comments2828 forecasters
When will an airborne SARS-CoV-2 virus monitor be commercially available?>Jan 2034 (Jun 2032 - >Jan 2034)122 comments44 forecasters>Jan 2034 (Jun 2032 - >Jan 2034)