• Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Services
  • News
  • Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Questions
  • Questions
Feed Home
๐Ÿ’ฌ
Top Comments
๐Ÿ’ก
Comments Feed
๐Ÿ“ˆ
Indexes
๐Ÿ†
Leaderboards
โš™๏ธ
Labor Hub
๐Ÿฆพ
FutureEval
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
US Midterms
โš”๏ธ
Metaculus Cup
๐Ÿ’ฅ
Iran War
โ“
Top Questions
๐Ÿ—ž๏ธ
Current Events
๐Ÿ’ผ
Economy & Business
๐Ÿ›๏ธ
Politics
๐ŸŒ
Geopolitics
โš™๏ธ
Technology
๐Ÿค–
Artificial Intelligence
๐Ÿฆ 
Health & Pandemics
๐Ÿ’ป
Computing and Math
๐Ÿ—ณ๏ธ
Elections
๐ŸŒฑ
Environment & Climate
๐Ÿ”ฌ
Natural Sciences
๐Ÿ€
Sports & Entertainment
โš–๏ธ
Law
๐Ÿš€
Space
๐Ÿง‘โ€๐Ÿคโ€๐Ÿง‘
Social Sciences
๐Ÿ”ฎ
Metaculus
โ˜ข๏ธ
Nuclear Technology & Risks
๐Ÿ’ฐ
Cryptoยญcurrencies

Public Benefit Corporation

Metaculus is an online forecasting platform focusing on topics of global importance.

ExploreQuestionsTournamentsTournaments for AI botsFutureEval
ServicesLaunch a TournamentPrivate InstancesPro Forecasters
CompanyAboutCareersFAQ
ResourcesForecasting ResourcesFor JournalistsAPI
GuidelinesPrivacy PolicyTerms of Use

What will be the maximum weekly new hospital admissions per 100,000 for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2026/27 season?

1
33 comments
7
7 forecasters

Will a case of Bundibugyo Ebola disease be first confirmed in the US before July 2027?

10% chance

1
55 comments
10
10 forecasters
10%chance

When will weekly new hospital admissions peak across respiratory illnesses in the 2026/27 season?

31 Dec 2026 (17 Dec 2026 - 18 Jan 2027)

2
33 comments
7
7 forecasters
31 Dec 2026
(17 Dec 2026 - 18 Jan 2027)

How many locally acquired Chikungunya cases will be reported in the European Economic Area in 2026?

89.4 cases (59.5 - 133)

1
33 comments
7
7 forecasters
89.4 cases
(59.5 - 133)

Will the WHO declare an H5 virus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern before 2028?

6% chance

1
22 comments
11
11 forecasters
6%chance

What proportion of influenza A will be H1N1 during the 2026/27 influenza season?

31.5% (13.5 - 59)

1
33 comments
7
7 forecasters
31.5%
(13.5 - 59)

Announcing the Global Health Monitor 2026/27

4
0 comments

Respiratory Outlook July Update: Screwworm continues US spread as Ebola outbreak surges in DRC

4
0 comments

What will be the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2025-2026 season?

3131 comments
31
31 forecasters

In the InfoGripe bulletin published on or immediately before June 25, 2026, which respiratory virus will be the single most prevalent among positive SRAG cases nationally over the most recent 4-week window?

11 comment
87
87 forecasters

By five years after AGI, will an engineered pandemic have infected one billion people?

6% chance

5
1010 comments
56
56 forecasters
6%chance

When will the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people occur for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2025-2026 season?

2626 comments
27
27 forecasters

Will a novel human-infectious pandemic originate in these countries before 2100?

11 comment
3
3 forecasters

How many Clade I Mpox cases will have been reported in the US before 2027?

48 cases (39 - 58)

1515 comments
16
16 forecasters
48 cases
(39 - 58)

Key Findings from Frontiers in Disease Prevention with Coefficient Giving

6
11 comment

How many confirmed mpox cases for the following years (2025+)?

1
11 comment
4
4 forecasters

Respiratory Outlook June Update: New World Screwworm Enters the US

3
0 comments

Will at least 5 non-passengers be linked to the MV Hondius hantavirus outbreak before August 2026?

result: no

3
5959 comments
221
221 forecasters
ResolvedNo

Will the WHO announce a non-H5N1 pandemic before 2027?

3.6% chance

3
1212 comments
24
24 forecasters
3.6%chance

How many measles cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?

3529 cases (3084 - 4183)

1
1515 comments
28
28 forecasters
3529 cases
(3084 - 4183)

Will the WHO announce a non-H5N1 pandemic before 2030?

20% chance

1
22 comments
19
19 forecasters
20%chance

Will a case of Bundibugyo Ebola disease be first confirmed in the US before 2027?

8% chance

1
1111 comments
63
63 forecasters
8%chance