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condition

Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?

21 forecasters
if yes
if no

If at least 200 human cases of H5 are confirmed in the United States before 2026, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?

0.646

If at least 200 human cases of H5 are confirmed in the United States before 2026, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?

0.957
1010 comments
21
21 forecasters
Respiratory Outlook 2024/25
condition

Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2026?

24 forecasters
if yes
if no

Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?

13%
13%

Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?

0%
0%
77 comments
24
24 forecasters
Respiratory Outlook 2024/25

Sharpen the Respiratory Outlook for 2025/26

0 comments
Respiratory Outlook 2025/26
13 comments
55 forecasters

How many people will be reported to have died per year of COVID-19 on average during the years 2022-2025 in the United States?

Current estimate
111k deaths/year
26 comments
13 forecasters

What will be the weekly share (in percent) of emergency department visits for combined respiratory illnesses in the United States for the following weeks?

87 comments
78 forecasters

Will there be any human cases of the novel coronavirus, HKU5-CoV-2, before July 1, 2025?

resultNo
3 comments
59 forecasters

What will be the global annual death rate (per 100,000 people) from infectious disease in the following years?

0 comments
15 forecasters

Five years after AGI, what will be the global annual death rate (per 100,000 people) from infectious disease?

Current estimate
68.8 deaths per 100k

Sharpen the Respiratory Outlook for 2024/25

7
44 comments
Respiratory Outlook 2024/25
5 comments
35 forecasters

How many variants of concern will be monitored by the US CDC as of 4 April?

community
3.11
result
5