Questions
Tournaments
Services
News
Questions
Tournaments
Questions
Questions
More
Log in
Sign Up
a
/
文
Log in
Sign Up
Feed Home
👥
Communities
🏆
Leaderboards
Topics
❓
Top Questions
🗞️
In the News
🦾
AI Forecasting Benchmark
💎
Metaculus Cup
⏳
AI 2027
🌍
AI Pathways
🏛️
POTUS Predictions
categories
🦠
Health & Pandemics
🌱
Environment & Climate
☢️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
See all categories
Contributed by the
Foresight Institute
community.
1
comment
16
forecasters
Before January 1, 2032, will an FDA-approved therapeutic intervention demonstrate a statistically significant reversal of at least 10 years in biological age in humans?
10%
chance
10%
this week
3
comments
20
forecasters
When will Altos Labs first trial an anti-aging intervention in humans?
Current estimate
17 Jul 2030
4
comments
21
forecasters
Will a biologic therapy targeting Mycobacterium tuberculosis be tested in humans before 2038?
61.8%
chance
27
comments
225
forecasters
Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?
23%
chance
8
comments
12
forecasters
When will the first medical treatment based on nanorobots happen?
Current estimate
Jun 2032
Recorded Q&As From Nov 3 FRO Talks
8
0
comments
FRO-casting
🔬FRO-Casting to Support a New Research Model
10
6
6
comments
FRO-casting
⚕️Primum Non Nocere: A Physician’s Perspective on AI in Medicine
10
0
comments
Metaculus Journal Archives
Mpox Rapid Information Aggregation
7
2
2
comments
2
comments
33
forecasters
Will an inorganic nanoparticle-enabled cancer therapy be approved by the FDA before 2031?
60%
chance
Load More