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US Democracy Index

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Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?

22.8%chance

3 comments

20 forecasters

When will Altos Labs first trial an anti-aging intervention in humans?

Current estimate

17 Jul 2030

2 comments

33 forecasters

Will an inorganic nanoparticle-enabled cancer therapy be approved by the FDA before 2031?

60%chance

0 comments

28 forecasters

Will an inorganic nanoparticle-enabled cancer therapy be approved by the FDA before 2041?

80%chance

4 comments

21 forecasters

Will a biologic therapy targeting Mycobacterium tuberculosis be tested in humans before 2038?

61.8%chance

8 comments

12 forecasters

When will the first medical treatment based on nanorobots happen?

Current estimate

Oct 2032

Contributed by the Foresight Institute community.

1 comment

17 forecasters

Before January 1, 2032, will an FDA-approved therapeutic intervention demonstrate a statistically significant reversal of at least 10 years in biological age in humans?

17%chance

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?

When will Altos Labs first trial an anti-aging intervention in humans?

Will an inorganic nanoparticle-enabled cancer therapy be approved by the FDA before 2031?

Will an inorganic nanoparticle-enabled cancer therapy be approved by the FDA before 2041?

Will a biologic therapy targeting Mycobacterium tuberculosis be tested in humans before 2038?

When will the first medical treatment based on nanorobots happen?

Before January 1, 2032, will an FDA-approved therapeutic intervention demonstrate a statistically significant reversal of at least 10 years in biological age in humans?

Recorded Q&As From Nov 3 FRO Talks

🔬FRO-Casting to Support a New Research Model

⚕️Primum Non Nocere: A Physician’s Perspective on AI in Medicine

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?

When will Altos Labs first trial an anti-aging intervention in humans?

Will an inorganic nanoparticle-enabled cancer therapy be approved by the FDA before 2031?

Will an inorganic nanoparticle-enabled cancer therapy be approved by the FDA before 2041?

Will a biologic therapy targeting Mycobacterium tuberculosis be tested in humans before 2038?

When will the first medical treatment based on nanorobots happen?

Before January 1, 2032, will an FDA-approved therapeutic intervention demonstrate a statistically significant reversal of at least 10 years in biological age in humans?

Recorded Q&As From Nov 3 FRO Talks

🔬FRO-Casting to Support a New Research Model

⚕️Primum Non Nocere: A Physician’s Perspective on AI in Medicine