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Contributed by the Foresight Institute community.

1 comment
16 forecasters

Before January 1, 2032, will an FDA-approved therapeutic intervention demonstrate a statistically significant reversal of at least 10 years in biological age in humans?

10%chance
10% this week
3 comments
20 forecasters

When will Altos Labs first trial an anti-aging intervention in humans?

Current estimate
17 Jul 2030
4 comments
21 forecasters

Will a biologic therapy targeting Mycobacterium tuberculosis be tested in humans before 2038?

61.8%chance
27 comments
225 forecasters

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?

23%chance
8 comments
12 forecasters

When will the first medical treatment based on nanorobots happen?

Current estimate
Jun 2032

Recorded Q&As From Nov 3 FRO Talks

8
0 comments
FRO-casting

🔬FRO-Casting to Support a New Research Model

10
66 comments
FRO-casting

⚕️Primum Non Nocere: A Physician’s Perspective on AI in Medicine

10
0 comments
Metaculus Journal Archives

Mpox Rapid Information Aggregation

7
22 comments
2 comments
33 forecasters

Will an inorganic nanoparticle-enabled cancer therapy be approved by the FDA before 2031?

60%chance