Will AI successfully act on the instruction, “Go make $1 million on a retail web platform in a few months with just a $100,000 investment,” before January 1, 2030?6% chance64242 comments7878 forecasters6%chance
Will a company with 1 employee achieve a $1 billion valuation before 2030?19% chance266 comments7272 forecasters19%chance
How many new businesses will be formed in the US in 2023?357k (349k - 371k)444 comments1717 forecasters357k (349k - 371k)
Will the share of minority-owned businesses among new business licenses in Pensacola increase by at least 25% in 2028 versus baseline 2024 figures?31.9% chance0 comments11 forecaster31.9%chance