Will China further tighten its post–November 10, 2026 rare-earth export-control regime?37.5% chance33 comments22 forecasters37.5%chance
What will the unemployment rate among new graduates be in the following years?21717 comments4949 forecasters
What will the underemployment rate among new graduates be in the following years?42929 comments5656 forecasters
How many US states and territories will have an ACS GINI coefficient over 0.5 by 2025?4.23 states & territories (3.16 - 5.95)111 comment1515 forecasters4.23 states & territories (3.16 - 5.95)
What will the labor share of national income (%) be in the US in the following years?22121 comments4242 forecasters
What will the percent change in people employed as laborers and movers in the US be relative to 2025?21616 comments3939 forecasters
What will the percent change of the real hourly median wage of US employees be relative to 2025 in the following years?21616 comments3030 forecasters
What will the percent change in the US employment levels be in the following years relative to 2025?54444 comments5858 forecasters
What percent of the world's primary energy will come from fossil fuels in the following years?2388 comments136136 forecasters
What will the percent change in people employed as janitors and cleaners in the US be relative to 2025?21818 comments4141 forecasters
What percent of global primary energy will come from nuclear fission or fusion power in the following years?141313 comments9898 forecasters
What will the percent change in the US employment levels be in these years vs 2025, conditional on positive real GDP growth?11717 comments3434 forecasters
What will the percent change in people employed as financial specialists in the US be relative to 2025?21818 comments4141 forecasters
What will the percent change in people employed as designers in the US be relative to 2025?21717 comments4444 forecasters
How much will the occupational mix have changed in the following years, relative to November 2022?1616 comments2929 forecasters
Will the US stock market crash by more than 10% in any 5-day trading period before 2027?33.8% chance233 comments4747 forecasters33.8%chance
Will any of the following Western AI chip makers have any of their AI accelerators fabricated in China before 2033?722 comments5353 forecasters