Question Feed | Metaculus

In which of the following sectors will the share of foreign workers increase the most between 2025 and 2029?

12

What will the unemployment rate be in the eurozone in the following years?

6

14

Which of Scott Aaronson's five AI worlds will first come to pass before 2050?

40

281

Will the UK, EU, and EFTA countries award €10bn in incentives for non-petroleum chemical production in any year before 2036?

55% chance

12

55%chance

What will the annual real GDP growth rate be in the eurozone in the following years?

4

23

What will annual inflation be in the eurozone in the following years?

8

16

When will these countries adopt the Euro?

6

13

Will a referendum on adopting the euro be officially announced in the Czech Republic before 2030?

10% chance

3

17

10%chance

Will the Council of the European Union adopt the proposed expansion to climate-focused export credits before 2025?

result: yes

4

13

ResolvedYes

When will each of these steps happen in Ukraine's EU accession process?

10

27

Chinese volume production using EUV by 2033? → Chinese GDP Greater than US by 2041?

1

8

Major State Exits EU before 2027? → Date EU Ceases to Exist?

2

2

War in Europe by 2153? → Date EU Ceases to Exist?

3

5

European Army before 2032? → Date EU Ceases to Exist?

2

2

EU and US Cut Diplomatic Ties before 2051? → Date EU Ceases to Exist?

1

5

Will the following countries be part of the European Union in 2050?

28

98

Will Poland’s GDP per capita (in USD) exceed that of the United Kingdom before 2031?

1% chance

6

38

1%chance

Will the EU rank above the US and China every year until 2030, according to the Climate Change Performance Index?

97% chance

3

39

97%chance

Will less than 75% of European Union imports of rare earth magnets originate in China in 2030?

26% chance

7

25

26%chance

How much will beer cost in the Eurozone in 2030?

133 (122 - 147)

4

9

133

(122 - 147)

What will be the EU GDP growth (year on year) in 2021?

4.1 (3.17 - 5.01)

8

64

Resolved5.34

Will the United Kingdom join the European Economic Area before 2040?

61% chance

15

59

61%chance