Question Feed | Metaculus

Questions
Tournaments
Services
News

Questions
Tournaments

Questions

Questions

Economy & Business

Artificial Intelligence

Health & Pandemics

Computing and Math

Natural Sciences

Environment & Climate

Sports & Entertainment

🧑‍🤝‍🧑

Social Sciences

Nuclear Technology & Risks

Cryptocurrencies

Public Benefit Corporation

Metaculus is an online forecasting platform focusing on topics of global importance.

ExploreQuestions Tournaments Tournaments for AI bots FutureEval

ServicesLaunch a Tournament Private Instances Pro Forecasters

CompanyAboutCareers FAQ

ResourcesForecasting Resources For Journalists API

Guidelines Privacy Policy Terms of Use

When will each of these steps happen in Ukraine's EU accession process?

10

27

27 forecasters

Will the UK, EU, and EFTA countries award €10bn in incentives for non-petroleum chemical production in any year before 2036?

50% chance

17

17 forecasters

50%chance

Will the following countries be part of the European Union in 2050?

28

97

97 forecasters

Economist 2021 Series Announcement

8

Will the United Kingdom join the European Economic Area before 2040?

60% chance

15

61

61 forecasters

60%chance

When will these countries adopt the Euro?

6

13

13 forecasters

What will the annual real GDP growth rate be in the eurozone in the following years?

4

23

23 forecasters

What will annual inflation be in the eurozone in the following years?

8

17

17 forecasters

Will the EU rank above the US and China every year until 2030, according to the Climate Change Performance Index?

96% chance

3

39

39 forecasters

96%chance

Will less than 75% of European Union imports of rare earth magnets originate in China in 2030?

30% chance

7

27

27 forecasters

30%chance

Will a referendum on adopting the euro be officially announced in the Czech Republic before 2030?

10% chance

3

19

19 forecasters

10%chance

In which of the following sectors will the share of foreign workers increase the most between 2025 and 2029?

11

11 forecasters

What will the unemployment rate be in the eurozone in the following years?

6

14

14 forecasters

Will the Council of the European Union adopt the proposed expansion to climate-focused export credits before 2025?

result: yes

4

13

13 forecasters

ResolvedYes

Chinese volume production using EUV by 2033? → Chinese GDP Greater than US by 2041?

1

8

8 forecasters

Major State Exits EU before 2027? → Date EU Ceases to Exist?

2

2

2 forecasters

War in Europe by 2153? → Date EU Ceases to Exist?

3

5

5 forecasters

European Army before 2032? → Date EU Ceases to Exist?

2

2

2 forecasters

EU and US Cut Diplomatic Ties before 2051? → Date EU Ceases to Exist?

1

5

5 forecasters

Will Poland’s GDP per capita (in USD) exceed that of the United Kingdom before 2031?

4% chance

6

39

39 forecasters

4%chance

Will India’s climate-driven risk rise more than 10% in 2027 relative to 2022?

31% chance

4

19

19 forecasters

31%chance

How much will beer cost in the Eurozone in 2030?

133 (122 - 147)

4

9

9 forecasters

133

(122 - 147)

What will be the EU GDP growth (year on year) in 2021?

4.1 (3.17 - 5.01)

8

64

64 forecasters

4.1

(3.17 - 5.01)

Will a European Union member state be one of the first 10 countries to select 10% of its population for IQ?

15.8% chance

9

59

59 forecasters

15.8%chance