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ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature
7 comments
34 forecasters

Will the US Enter a Deflationary period before 2030?

22%chance
23 comments
29 forecasters

What will core PCE and the max unemployment rate be at the end of 2023?

UR < 4.5%, core PCE ≥ 3%result: Yes
UR < 4.5%, core PCE < 3%result: No
UR ≥ 4.5%, core PCE ≥ 3%result: No
15 comments
93 forecasters

Will a recession begin in the United States in the following years?

Threshold 2030: 30 economists & AI policy experts forecast AI's economic impact

5
11 comment
1 comment
5 forecasters

What will be the Trade Openness Index for the United States in the following years?

204032.2
203029.1
202523.1
condition

US Hyperinflation Before 2050

9 forecasters
if yes
if no

10% agricul. drop leading to >400M fatalities

17%
17%

10% agricul. drop leading to >400M fatalities

11%
11%
1
0 comments
9
9 forecasters
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
condition

Federal Reserve Adoption of NGDP Targeting

1 forecaster
if yes
if no

US unemployment after next market crash

5.76

US unemployment after next market crash

6.12
1
0 comments
1
1 forecaster

Two Theories of Inflation

25
1010 comments

Beyond Benchmark Rates: How Modern Central Banks Tighten Monetary Policy

10
11 comment