Question Feed | Metaculus

Topics

🗳️

US Democracy Index

❓

Will the United States bailout Argentina before 2026?

15%chance

7% this week

Key Factors

0 comments

97 forecasters

What will be the value of the Economic Policy Uncertainty index for the US for November and December 2025? (November)

Latest estimate

250

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments

97 forecasters

What will be the value of the Economic Policy Uncertainty index for the US for November and December 2025? (December)

Latest estimate

241

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments

108 forecasters

Will the US national debt be under $38.5 trillion on December 31, 2025?

14.9%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

3 comments

46 forecasters

What will be the value of the Economic Policy Uncertainty index for the US for November and December 2025?

3 comments

41 forecasters

What will be the share of lithium processed in China in 2030?

Current estimate

61.5%

Key Factors

84 comments

85 forecasters

Will the US national debt be under $38 trillion on September 30, 2025?

resultYes

5 comments

19 forecasters

What will the annual real GDP growth rate be in the eurozone in the following years?

11 comments

117 forecasters

Will customs duties revenue to the federal government increase from $80 billion in fiscal year 2023 to $160 billion in fiscal year 2026 (in 2023 dollars)?

95%chance

29 comments

1.2k forecasters

Will the US Congress pass a bill implementing Trump's tariff policies in 2025?

2%chance

Key Factors