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75
comments
43
forecasters
What will the seasonally adjusted U-3 unemployment rate be in the United States in the following months?
0
comments
97
forecasters
What will be the value of the Economic Policy Uncertainty index for the US for November and December 2025? (December)
Latest estimate
241
This question is closed for forecasting.
0
comments
97
forecasters
What will be the value of the Economic Policy Uncertainty index for the US for November and December 2025? (November)
Latest estimate
250
This question is closed for forecasting.
50
comments
136
forecasters
Will the United States bailout Argentina before 2026?
24%
chance
9%
this week
Key Factors
US pledge to bail out Argentina already made
Show of support from Trump is possible
Milei's election victory stabilises peso speculation
0
comments
108
forecasters
Will the US national debt be under $38.5 trillion on December 31, 2025?
14.9%
chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
11
comments
118
forecasters
Will customs duties revenue to the federal government increase from $80 billion in fiscal year 2023 to $160 billion in fiscal year 2026 (in 2023 dollars)?
95%
chance
3
comments
41
forecasters
What will be the share of lithium processed in China in 2030?
Current estimate
61.5%
Key Factors
New lithium reserve found in McDermitt Caldera but typically takes years to develop
1
comment
18
forecasters
Will the following Chinese SME firms have a higher market cap than any of ASML, Applied Materials, or Lam Research in 2033?
SMEE
44%
Naura
35%
AMEC
30%
1 other
3
comments
51
forecasters
What will be the value of the Economic Policy Uncertainty index for the US for November and December 2025?
condition
Chinese Invasion of Taiwan? (2030)
33
forecasters
if yes
if no
Chinese GDP Greater than US by 2041?
60%
60%
Chinese GDP Greater than US by 2041?
67%
67%
5
0
comments
33
33
forecasters
The Taiwan Tinderbox
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