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75 comments
43 forecasters

What will the seasonally adjusted U-3 unemployment rate be in the United States in the following months?

0 comments
97 forecasters

What will be the value of the Economic Policy Uncertainty index for the US for November and December 2025? (December)

Latest estimate
241

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
97 forecasters

What will be the value of the Economic Policy Uncertainty index for the US for November and December 2025? (November)

Latest estimate
250

This question is closed for forecasting.

50 comments
136 forecasters

Will the United States bailout Argentina before 2026?

24%chance
9% this week

Key Factors

0 comments
108 forecasters

Will the US national debt be under $38.5 trillion on December 31, 2025?

14.9%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

11 comments
118 forecasters

Will customs duties revenue to the federal government increase from $80 billion in fiscal year 2023 to $160 billion in fiscal year 2026 (in 2023 dollars)?

95%chance
3 comments
41 forecasters

What will be the share of lithium processed in China in 2030?

Current estimate
61.5%

Key Factors

1 comment
18 forecasters

Will the following Chinese SME firms have a higher market cap than any of ASML, Applied Materials, or Lam Research in 2033?

SMEE44%
Naura35%
AMEC30%
3 comments
51 forecasters

What will be the value of the Economic Policy Uncertainty index for the US for November and December 2025?

condition

Chinese Invasion of Taiwan? (2030)

33 forecasters
if yes
if no

Chinese GDP Greater than US by 2041?

60%
60%

Chinese GDP Greater than US by 2041?

67%
67%
5
0 comments
33
33 forecasters
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