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3
comments
46
forecasters
What will be the value of the Economic Policy Uncertainty index for the US for November and December 2025?
0
comments
13
forecasters
Will the U.S. presidential administration alter or delay the public release of a major federal economic indicator in the following years?
23
comments
29
forecasters
What will core PCE and the max unemployment rate be at the end of 2023?
UR < 4.5%, core PCE ≥ 3%
result:
Yes
UR < 4.5%, core PCE < 3%
result:
No
UR ≥ 4.5%, core PCE ≥ 3%
result:
No
1 other
7
comments
35
forecasters
Will the US Enter a Deflationary period before 2030?
22%
chance
15
comments
23
forecasters
What will real GDP growth (using the seasonally adjusted annual rate) be in the United States in the following quarters?
15
comments
23
forecasters
What will real GDP growth be in the United States in the following years?
19
comments
96
forecasters
Will a recession begin in the United States in the following years?
Threshold 2030: 30 economists & AI policy experts forecast AI's economic impact
5
1
1
comment
1
comment
5
forecasters
What will be the Trade Openness Index for the United States in the following years?
2040
32.3
2030
28.6
2025
22.7
1 other
2
comments
43
forecasters
Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that real gross world product will not exceed 130% of its previous yearly peak for any single year by January 1, 2043?
85%
chance
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