What will core PCE and the max unemployment rate be at the end of 2023?82323 comments2929 forecasters
What will real GDP growth (using the seasonally adjusted annual rate) be in the United States in the following quarters?21717 comments3030 forecasters
What will real GDP growth be in the United States in the following years?61717 comments2727 forecasters
What signed value, in billions of U.S. dollars, will the U.S. Census Bureau first report for the March 2026 advance international trade balance in goods?-89.7 Billions of U.S. dollars (-107 - -72.7)104104 comments103103 forecasters-89.7 Billions of U.S. dollars (-107 - -72.7)
Will the U.S. presidential administration alter or delay the public release of a major federal economic indicator in the following years?33 comments104104 forecasters
What will be the Trade Openness Index for the United States in the following years?22 comments55 forecasters
Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that real gross world product will not exceed 130% of its previous yearly peak for any single year by January 1, 2043?90% chance166 comments4949 forecasters90%chance
US unemployment rate 10% before 2031? → Civil Unrest or Rioting in US Before 2031?20 comments1313 forecasters
US Hyperinflation Before 2050 → 10% agricul. drop leading to >400M fatalities10 comments99 forecasters
Federal Reserve Adoption of NGDP Targeting → US unemployment after next market crash10 comments11 forecaster
Will Robin Hanson win his bet against Matthew Barnett on whether ems will come before de novo AGI?1% chance162222 comments7575 forecasters1%chance
When will there be at least one billion Americans?>2120 (2114 - >2120)132828 comments5959 forecasters>2120 (2114 - >2120)