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US Democracy Index

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Will a recession begin in the United States in the following years?

23 comments

29 forecasters

What will core PCE and the max unemployment rate be at the end of 2023?

UR < 4.5%, core PCE ≥ 3%result: Yes

UR < 4.5%, core PCE < 3%result: No

UR ≥ 4.5%, core PCE ≥ 3%result: No

7 comments

35 forecasters

Will the US Enter a Deflationary period before 2030?

22%chance

4 comments

29 forecasters

How many zero emission light vehicles will be available for under 40 thousand dollars (in 2022 US dollars) in the United States for the following model years?

0 comments

49 forecasters

Will the U.S. presidential administration alter or delay the public release of a major federal economic indicator in the following years?

15 comments

23 forecasters

What will real GDP growth be in the United States in the following years?

62 forecasters

Nuclear Risk Horizons Project

1 comment

5 forecasters

What will be the Trade Openness Index for the United States in the following years?

204032.3

203028.6

202522.7

condition

US Hyperinflation Before 2050

9 forecasters

if yes

if no

10% agricul. drop leading to >400M fatalities

17%

10% agricul. drop leading to >400M fatalities

11%

0 comments

9 forecasters

Nuclear Risk Horizons Project

Will a recession begin in the United States in the following years?

What will core PCE and the max unemployment rate be at the end of 2023?

Will the US Enter a Deflationary period before 2030?

How many zero emission light vehicles will be available for under 40 thousand dollars (in 2022 US dollars) in the United States for the following model years?

Will the U.S. presidential administration alter or delay the public release of a major federal economic indicator in the following years?

What will real GDP growth be in the United States in the following years?

Threshold 2030: 30 economists & AI policy experts forecast AI's economic impact

Chinese GDP Overtakes US Before 2030?

US-China war before 2035?

US-China war before 2035?

What will be the Trade Openness Index for the United States in the following years?

US Hyperinflation Before 2050

10% agricul. drop leading to >400M fatalities

10% agricul. drop leading to >400M fatalities

Will a recession begin in the United States in the following years?

What will core PCE and the max unemployment rate be at the end of 2023?

Will the US Enter a Deflationary period before 2030?

How many zero emission light vehicles will be available for under 40 thousand dollars (in 2022 US dollars) in the United States for the following model years?

Will the U.S. presidential administration alter or delay the public release of a major federal economic indicator in the following years?

What will real GDP growth be in the United States in the following years?

Threshold 2030: 30 economists & AI policy experts forecast AI's economic impact

Chinese GDP Overtakes US Before 2030?

US-China war before 2035?

US-China war before 2035?

What will be the Trade Openness Index for the United States in the following years?

US Hyperinflation Before 2050

10% agricul. drop leading to >400M fatalities

10% agricul. drop leading to >400M fatalities