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1
comment
44
forecasters
Will the US national debt be under $38.5 trillion on December 31, 2025?
38%
chance
Introducing the US Democracy Threat Index
16
6
6
comments
U.S. Democracy Threat Index
3
comments
71
forecasters
Will Russia’s annual GDP growth rate exceed 1.5% in Q3 2025?
10%
chance
40
comments
136
forecasters
What will be the China-to-USA GDP ratio in 2050?
Current estimate
1.18 ratio
19
comments
95
forecasters
Will a recession begin in the United States in the following years?
6
comments
13
forecasters
What will be China's share of rare earth production in 2030?
Current estimate
51.5%
6
comments
33
forecasters
What will be the annual headline CPI inflation in the United States in the following years?
7
comments
35
forecasters
Will the US Enter a Deflationary period before 2030?
22%
chance
23
comments
29
forecasters
What will core PCE and the max unemployment rate be at the end of 2023?
UR < 4.5%, core PCE ≥ 3%
result:
Yes
UR < 4.5%, core PCE < 3%
result:
No
UR ≥ 4.5%, core PCE ≥ 3%
result:
No
1 other
4
comments
27
forecasters
Five years after AGI, what will be the U.S.’s employment to population ratio?
Current estimate
41.2%
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