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Introducing the US Democracy Threat Index
12
0
comments
U.S. Democracy Threat Index
0
comments
9
forecasters
Will the U.S. presidential administration alter or delay the public release of a major federal economic indicator in the following years?
1
comment
52
forecasters
What will be the value of "the Economic Policy Uncertainty Index for the US" on 2025-08-28?
community
220 Index
result
243.9 Index
2
comments
30
forecasters
Before 2032, will a G7 central bank or finance ministry credit an AI forecasting system as a key reason for a major preemptive policy action to avert a potential economic crisis or instability?
12%
chance
7
comments
13
forecasters
What will be the US : China ratio for private investment in AI in the following years?
7
comments
34
forecasters
Will the US Enter a Deflationary period before 2030?
22%
chance
23
comments
29
forecasters
What will core PCE and the max unemployment rate be at the end of 2023?
UR < 4.5%, core PCE ≥ 3%
result:
Yes
UR < 4.5%, core PCE < 3%
result:
No
UR ≥ 4.5%, core PCE ≥ 3%
result:
No
1 other
2
comments
28
forecasters
Will US imports from Brazil in November 2025 exceed those of November 2024?
30%
chance
8%
this week
0
comments
8
forecasters
What will net outlays by the US government be in 2028 as a percentage of GDP?
Current estimate
23.3%
2
comments
8
forecasters
What will be the annual average seasonally adjusted S&P/Case-Shiller US National Home Price Index in the following years?
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