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8 forecasters

15%chance

26% this week

60 forecasters

29 forecasters

35 forecasters

22%chance

94 forecasters

Current estimate

7.32

29 forecasters

UR < 4.5%, core PCE ≥ 3%result: Yes

UR < 4.5%, core PCE < 3%result: No

UR ≥ 4.5%, core PCE ≥ 3%result: No

95 forecasters

319 forecasters

71%chance

57 forecasters

7%chance

3% this week