Question Feed | Metaculus

Questions
Tournaments
Services
News

Questions
Tournaments

Questions

Questions

Economy & Business

Artificial Intelligence

Health & Pandemics

Computing and Math

Environment & Climate

Natural Sciences

Sports & Entertainment

🧑‍🤝‍🧑

Social Sciences

Nuclear Technology & Risks

Cryptocurrencies

Public Benefit Corporation

Metaculus is an online forecasting platform focusing on topics of global importance.

ExploreQuestions Tournaments Tournaments for AI bots FutureEval

ServicesLaunch a Tournament Private Instances Pro Forecasters

CompanyAboutCareers FAQ

ResourcesForecasting Resources For Journalists API

Guidelines Privacy Policy Terms of Use

The 2026 US Midterms Tracker is Live!

8

Will the 2026 U.S. midterm elections be considered "free and fair"?

87% chance

3

45

45 forecasters

87%chance

Will an opposing-party authority block or remove a major-party nominee for statewide office from the U.S. general-election ballot in the following years?

2

105

105 forecasters

Will two or more losing major-party candidates for governor or U.S. Senator in competitive races refuse to concede defeat in the following general elections?

1

107

107 forecasters

Who will get the 2nd highest number of votes in round 1 of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election?

1

3

3 forecasters

Who will get the most votes in the first round of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election?

1

13

13 forecasters

Announcing the US Midterms 2026 Tournament - $10,000 Prize Pool

10

Will the Republican candidate win the 2024 US Senate election in the following states?

9

38

38 forecasters

Will a court change the winner of a 2026 election for U.S. House, Senate, or a top statewide office?

5% chance

3

195

195 forecasters

5%chance

Will there be a repeat election in the Parliament of Catalonia before the end of 2024?

result: no

1

19

19 forecasters

ResolvedNo

Who will win the second round of the 2024 presidential election in Romania?

10

57

57 forecasters

Will Elena Lasconi win the second round of the 2024 presidential election in Romania?

42.4% chance

30

30 forecasters

Annulled

Will Calin Georgescu win the second round of the 2024 presidential election in Romania?

40% chance

30

30 forecasters

Annulled

Who will win Ecuador’s 2023 presidential election?

6

39

39 forecasters

Fall 2020 Metaculus Moderator Election

11

2021 Spring Equinox Moderator Election

7

Community Trader Election

11

Casens Administratorship

9

Fall 2021 Moderator Election

14

Scott Alexander's 2022 Predictions

15

Spring 2022 Moderator Election

14

Fall 2022 Moderator Election [Vote Now!]

8