Question Feed | Metaculus

Topics

🗳️

US Democracy Index

❓

Who will get the most votes in the first round of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election?

Jeannette Jara65%

José Antonio Kast27.5%

Evelyn Matthei2.5%

16 comments

38 forecasters

Will the Republican candidate win the 2024 US Senate election in the following states?

Texasresult: Yes

Floridaresult: Yes

Missouriresult: Yes

0 comments

12 forecasters

Will an opposing-party authority block or remove a major-party nominee for statewide office from the U.S. general-election ballot in the following years?

21 comments

58 forecasters

Who will win the next UK Labour Party Leadership Election?

Keir Starmer23%

Andy Burnham15%

Lisa Nandy10%

2 comments

137 forecasters

Will a court change the winner of a 2026 election for U.S. House, Senate, or a top statewide office?

10%chance

8 comments

19 forecasters

Will there be a repeat election in the Parliament of Catalonia before the end of 2024?

resultNo

58 comments

30 forecasters

Will Elena Lasconi win the second round of the 2024 presidential election in Romania?

Annulled

58 comments

30 forecasters

Will Calin Georgescu win the second round of the 2024 presidential election in Romania?

Annulled

33 comments

57 forecasters

Who will win the second round of the 2024 presidential election in Romania?

Elena LasconiAnnulled

Calin GeorgescuAnnulled

16 comments

39 forecasters

Who will win Ecuador’s 2023 presidential election?

Luisa Gonzálezresult: No

Daniel Noboa Azínresult: Yes

Xavier Hervasresult: No