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3.9k comments
3.6k forecasters

Who will be elected US President in 2024?

Donald Trumpresult: Yes
Gretchen Whitmerresult: No
Pete Buttigiegresult: No
82 comments
235 forecasters

If these candidates are nominated, will they win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Donald Trump (R)result: Yes
Kamala Harris (D)result: No
Gavin Newsom (D)Annulled
584 comments
1.2k forecasters

Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Kamala Harrisresult: Yes
Joe Bidenresult: No
Gavin Newsomresult: No
0 comments
90 forecasters

Who will win the Texas 18th district special election?

Amanda Edwards31.8%
Christian Menefee31.2%
Jolanda Jones16.5%

This question is closed for forecasting.

Introducing the US Democracy Threat Index

16
66 comments
U.S. Democracy Threat Index
9 comments
309 forecasters

Will J.D. Vance become President of the United States before January 20, 2029?

21%chance
4% this week
1 comment
12 forecasters

Who will get the most votes in the first round of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election?

Jeannette Jara62%
José Antonio Kast27%
Evelyn Matthei5%
38 comments
64 forecasters

What percent of the popular vote will be won by these parties in the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Democraticresult: 48.3242
Republicanresult: 49.79607
Greenresult: 0.555306
16 comments
38 forecasters

Will the Republican candidate win the 2024 US Senate election in the following states?

Texasresult: Yes
Floridaresult: Yes
Missouriresult: Yes
0 comments
12 forecasters

Will an opposing-party authority block or remove a major-party nominee for statewide office from the U.S. general-election ballot in the following years?