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Introducing the US Democracy Threat Index

13
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U.S. Democracy Threat Index
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93 forecasters

Which Chamber of the US Congress will vote on a bill in furtherance of an acquisition of Greenland, before 2026?

Neither69.5%
House of Representatives21.1%
Both5%

This question is closed for forecasting.

2 comments
10 forecasters

Will U.S. Congress pass new limits on early voting, absentee voting, or voter registration in the following years?

Contributed by the Meercast's Community Page community.

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Will the US Congress Pass The Farm Bill by Jan 1st. 2026?

Revealed in 6 days
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4 forecasters

Will the U.S. House maps for the following years give any major party an efficiency-gap advantage of ≥20 seats nationwide?

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6 forecasters

Will an opposing-party authority block or remove a major-party nominee for statewide office from the U.S. general-election ballot in the following years?

0 comments
2 forecasters

Will a U.S. state legislative or congressional map be used for the following general elections with a total population deviation between districts of ≥12%?

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4 forecasters

In the following U.S. presidential elections, will any state fail to submit a slate of electoral votes to Congress by the safe harbor deadline?

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4 forecasters

Will two or more losing major-party candidates for governor or U.S. Senator in competitive races refuse to concede defeat in the following general elections?

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4 forecasters

Will the losing major-party candidate in the following U.S. presidential elections refuse to concede defeat before electors meet?