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0 comments
1 forecaster

Will the 2025 return of professional investor Bill Ackman beat the return of any of these politicians tracked by Quiver Quantitative?

Current estimate
Revealed in 4 days
0 comments
90 forecasters

Who will win the Texas 18th district special election?

Amanda Edwards31.8%
Christian Menefee31.2%
Jolanda Jones16.5%

This question is closed for forecasting.

Introducing the US Democracy Threat Index

16
55 comments
U.S. Democracy Threat Index
122 comments
168 forecasters

[Short Fuse] Who will be elected Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives following Kevin McCarthy's removal?

Mike Johnson (R)result: Yes
Kevin Hern (R)Annulled
Steve Scalise (R)result: No
13 comments
451 forecasters

Which party will hold a plurality in the US House of Representatives after the 2026 midterm elections?

Democrats68.8%
Republicans31.1%
Other0.1%
9 comments
129 forecasters

Who will win the Texas 18th district special election?

Amanda Edwards42.1%
Christian Menefee31.3%
Jolanda Jones13%
0 comments
93 forecasters

Which Chamber of the US Congress will vote on a bill in furtherance of an acquisition of Greenland, before 2026?

Neither69.5%
House of Representatives21.1%
Both5%

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
44 forecasters

In the following U.S. presidential elections, will any state fail to submit a slate of electoral votes to Congress by the safe harbor deadline?

0 comments
45 forecasters

Will two or more losing major-party candidates for governor or U.S. Senator in competitive races refuse to concede defeat in the following general elections?

1 comment
37 forecasters

Will a U.S. state legislative or congressional map be used for the following general elections with a total population deviation between districts of ≥12%?