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What will be the highest surface air temperature anomaly during November and December 2025?

Current estimate

0.839 °C

Key Factors

22 comments

283 forecasters

Will China reduce their carbon emissions per GDP by 60% by 2030?

69%chance

1 comment

35 forecasters

Will the EU rank above the US and China every year until 2030, according to the Climate Change Performance Index?

96%chance

8 comments

144 forecasters

Before 2100, will there be a 5-year period with an average global temperature >3.6˚C warmer than the 1861-1880 baseline?

22%chance

4 comments

53 forecasters

Will China's CO2 emissions peak before 2030?

80%chance

condition

5 forecasters

3 comments

17 forecasters

Will India’s climate-driven risk rise more than 10% in 2027 relative to 2022?

32.4%chance

condition

Solar Power Dominates Renewables by 2031?

5 forecasters

if yes

if no

First Year of Global Temperature Above 2˚C?

Jul 2051

First Year of Global Temperature Above 2˚C?

Apr 2034

1 1 comment

5 forecasters

7 comments

194 forecasters

Ragnarök Question Series: if a global climate disaster occurs by 2100, will the Earth's human population decline by 95% or more?

1%chance

condition

Renewables >55% global electric gen. by 2030?

1 forecaster

if yes

if no

First Year of Global Temperature Above 2˚C?

Oct 2060

First Year of Global Temperature Above 2˚C?

Feb 2053

4 4 comments

1 forecaster

What will be the highest surface air temperature anomaly during November and December 2025?

Will China reduce their carbon emissions per GDP by 60% by 2030?

Will the EU rank above the US and China every year until 2030, according to the Climate Change Performance Index?

Before 2100, will there be a 5-year period with an average global temperature >3.6˚C warmer than the 1861-1880 baseline?

Will China's CO2 emissions peak before 2030?

China CO2 Emissions Reduction by 60% by 2030

First Year of Global Temperature Above 2˚C?

First Year of Global Temperature Above 2˚C?

Will India’s climate-driven risk rise more than 10% in 2027 relative to 2022?

Solar Power Dominates Renewables by 2031?

First Year of Global Temperature Above 2˚C?

First Year of Global Temperature Above 2˚C?

Ragnarök Question Series: if a global climate disaster occurs by 2100, will the Earth's human population decline by 95% or more?

Renewables >55% global electric gen. by 2030?

First Year of Global Temperature Above 2˚C?

First Year of Global Temperature Above 2˚C?

What will be the highest surface air temperature anomaly during November and December 2025?

Will China reduce their carbon emissions per GDP by 60% by 2030?

Will the EU rank above the US and China every year until 2030, according to the Climate Change Performance Index?

Before 2100, will there be a 5-year period with an average global temperature >3.6˚C warmer than the 1861-1880 baseline?

Will China's CO2 emissions peak before 2030?

China CO2 Emissions Reduction by 60% by 2030

First Year of Global Temperature Above 2˚C?

First Year of Global Temperature Above 2˚C?

Will India’s climate-driven risk rise more than 10% in 2027 relative to 2022?

Solar Power Dominates Renewables by 2031?

First Year of Global Temperature Above 2˚C?

First Year of Global Temperature Above 2˚C?

Ragnarök Question Series: if a global climate disaster occurs by 2100, will the Earth's human population decline by 95% or more?

Renewables >55% global electric gen. by 2030?

First Year of Global Temperature Above 2˚C?

First Year of Global Temperature Above 2˚C?