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9
comments
57
forecasters
What will be the highest surface air temperature anomaly during November and December 2025?
Current estimate
0.844 °C
condition
Solar Power Dominates Renewables by 2031?
5
forecasters
if yes
if no
First Year of Global Temperature Above 2˚C?
Jul 2051
First Year of Global Temperature Above 2˚C?
Apr 2034
2
1
1
comment
5
5
forecasters
9
comments
32
forecasters
Will there be a heat wave that kills at least one million people in a single month before 2050?
40%
chance
5%
this week
7
comments
194
forecasters
Ragnarök Question Series: if a global climate disaster occurs by 2100, will the Earth's human population decline by 95% or more?
1%
chance
52
comments
283
forecasters
Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to either human-made climate change or geoengineering?
10%
chance
22
comments
283
forecasters
Will China reduce their carbon emissions per GDP by 60% by 2030?
68%
chance
1
comment
35
forecasters
Will the EU rank above the US and China every year until 2030, according to the Climate Change Performance Index?
96%
chance
8
comments
144
forecasters
Before 2100, will there be a 5-year period with an average global temperature >3.6˚C warmer than the 1861-1880 baseline?
22%
chance
3
comments
18
forecasters
Will India’s climate-driven risk rise more than 10% in 2027 relative to 2022?
34%
chance
12
comments
34
forecasters
How much concern about climate change will exist in 2025, according to Google Trends?
Latest estimate
1.29
This question is closed for forecasting.
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