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Will there be a heat wave that kills at least one million people in a single month before 2050?

39%chance

3 comments

18 forecasters

Will India’s climate-driven risk rise more than 10% in 2027 relative to 2022?

34%chance

22 comments

282 forecasters

Will China reduce their carbon emissions per GDP by 60% by 2030?

67%chance

52 comments

279 forecasters

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to either human-made climate change or geoengineering?

10%chance

1 comment

35 forecasters

Will the EU rank above the US and China every year until 2030, according to the Climate Change Performance Index?

95%chance

4 comments

53 forecasters

Will China's CO2 emissions peak before 2030?

80%chance

8 comments

142 forecasters

Before 2100, will there be a 5-year period with an average global temperature >3.6˚C warmer than the 1861-1880 baseline?

20%chance

7 comments

192 forecasters

Ragnarök Question Series: if a global climate disaster occurs by 2100, will the Earth's human population decline by 95% or more?

1%chance

condition

5 forecasters

condition

Solar Power Dominates Renewables by 2031?

5 forecasters

if yes

if no

First Year of Global Temperature Above 2˚C?

Jan 2052

First Year of Global Temperature Above 2˚C?

Feb 2034

1 1 comment

5 forecasters

Will there be a heat wave that kills at least one million people in a single month before 2050?

Will India’s climate-driven risk rise more than 10% in 2027 relative to 2022?

Will China reduce their carbon emissions per GDP by 60% by 2030?

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to either human-made climate change or geoengineering?

Will the EU rank above the US and China every year until 2030, according to the Climate Change Performance Index?

Will China's CO2 emissions peak before 2030?

Before 2100, will there be a 5-year period with an average global temperature >3.6˚C warmer than the 1861-1880 baseline?

Ragnarök Question Series: if a global climate disaster occurs by 2100, will the Earth's human population decline by 95% or more?

China CO2 Emissions Reduction by 60% by 2030

First Year of Global Temperature Above 2˚C?

First Year of Global Temperature Above 2˚C?

Solar Power Dominates Renewables by 2031?

First Year of Global Temperature Above 2˚C?

First Year of Global Temperature Above 2˚C?

Will there be a heat wave that kills at least one million people in a single month before 2050?

Will India’s climate-driven risk rise more than 10% in 2027 relative to 2022?

Will China reduce their carbon emissions per GDP by 60% by 2030?

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to either human-made climate change or geoengineering?

Will the EU rank above the US and China every year until 2030, according to the Climate Change Performance Index?

Will China's CO2 emissions peak before 2030?

Before 2100, will there be a 5-year period with an average global temperature >3.6˚C warmer than the 1861-1880 baseline?

Ragnarök Question Series: if a global climate disaster occurs by 2100, will the Earth's human population decline by 95% or more?

China CO2 Emissions Reduction by 60% by 2030

First Year of Global Temperature Above 2˚C?

First Year of Global Temperature Above 2˚C?

Solar Power Dominates Renewables by 2031?

First Year of Global Temperature Above 2˚C?

First Year of Global Temperature Above 2˚C?