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Will Bitcoin trade above $120,000 before August 1, 2026?

20% chance

1
22 comments
93
93 forecasters
20%chance

Will Bitcoin trade above $120,000 before August 1, 2026?

5.7% chance

-2
22 comments
20
20 forecasters
5.7%chance

Market Pulse Challenge 26Q1: Winners and Some Surprising Results

4
55 comments

Market Pulse Challenge 26Q2: Can You Beat the Market and the Crowd?

7
2828 comments

Who if any of the FTX/Alameda top leaders will have been convicted of a U.S. federal felony before 2026?

16
7676 comments
85
85 forecasters

Will Bitcoin reach a new all-time high price before October 6, 2026?

15% chance

1111 comments
67
67 forecasters
15%chance

Will DOJ or FTC approve a $5bn merger or acquisition after a related $1m expenditure to a group or cryptocurrency linked to the president in the following years?

1
22 comments
102
102 forecasters

Before 2030, will a foundation-model-based AI system make $50M in realized profits from not more than $1M of traditional investments and trades?

61.8% chance

22 comments
23
23 forecasters
61.8%chance

Metaculus and Markets: Whatโ€™s the Difference?

10
0 comments

Will a U.S. cabinet agency award a $100m firm benefit after a $1m expenditure to a group or cryptocurrency linked to the president in the following years?

1
33 comments
91
91 forecasters

Will the market capitalization for USDT & USDC stablecoins surpass $300 billion USD by June 30, 2026?

60% chance

44 comments
28
28 forecasters
60%chance

๐Ÿ“ˆMarket Pulse Q2 Winners: Evidence of Edge

4
77 comments

Bitcoin Extremes: Will 1 bitcoin be worth $100,000 or more before Sept 15, 2024?

60% chance

11 comment
5
5 forecasters
Annulled

Bitcoin Extremes: Will 1 bitcoin be worth $100,000 or more before Sept 15, 2024?

result: no

1
6262 comments
36
36 forecasters
ResolvedNo

Bitcoin Extremes: Will the value of 1 bitcoin fall to $1,000 or less before 2025?

result: no

44
104104 comments
626
626 forecasters
ResolvedNo

Announcing: Forecasting the Upstart Macro Index - $10,000 Prize Pool

9
1111 comments

Will Coinbase file for bankruptcy protection before 2024?

result: no

16
2323 comments
114
114 forecasters
ResolvedNo

Will Cryptocurrency Miners be considered โ€œbrokersโ€ by the IRS by 2025?

result: no

3
22 comments
40
40 forecasters
ResolvedNo

When will the price of Bitcoin first drop below $6481 in 2021 USD?

>31 Dec 2030 (06 Jul 2029 - >31 Dec 2030)

4
1919 comments
66
66 forecasters
>31 Dec 2030
(06 Jul 2029 - >31 Dec 2030)

Will China reverse its decision to ban financial institutions from trading and engaging in cryptocurrency transactions before 2024?

result: no

3
33 comments
112
112 forecasters
ResolvedNo

What will Bitcoin's percentage of total crypto market capitalization be in 2025?

42.1 (33.1 - 51.3)

17
33 comments
80
80 forecasters
42.1
(33.1 - 51.3)

Market Pulse 26Q1 Opening Bell: Building Consistent Signal

2121 comments

When will 1 bitcoin be worth $1,000,000 (2020 USD) or more?

Nov 2042 (Oct 2033 - Dec 2068)

37
8080 comments
265
265 forecasters
Nov 2042
(Oct 2033 - Dec 2068)

Will cryptocurrencies account for at least 1% of U.S. retail payments before January 1, 2035?

81% chance

4
22 comments
36
36 forecasters
81%chance