• Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Services
  • News
  • Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Questions
  • Questions
Feed Home
👥
Communities
💎
Metaculus Cup
📈
Market Pulse Challenge
⚡
Current Events
🏛️
POTUS Predictions
🏆
Leaderboards
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
⏳
AI 2027
☀️
Bright Line Watch
🇹🇼🇨🇳
The Taiwan Tinderbox
🔮
Vox's Future Perfect
categories
🦠
Health & Pandemics
🌱
Environment & Climate
☢️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
See all categories
  • About
  • API
  • FAQ
  • forecasting resources
  • For Journalists
  • Contact
  • Careers
GuidelinesPrivacy PolicyTerms of Use
ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature

Will controlled AI chips be smuggled into China through any of the following countries before 2026?

Vietnam85%
Singaporeresult: Yes
Taiwan69%
and 9 others

Who will have de facto power in Gaza City on August 31, 2025?

Contested83.2%
Israel15.2%
Hamas1%
and 3 others

Will over 2/3 of EU member states recognize Palestinian statehood before July 2026?

65%chance

Will Russia have significantly expanded its controlled territory in Ukraine on January 1, 2026?

5%chance

Will Russia attack a European NATO member before 2035?

15%chance
5% this week

Will the Gaza war end and significant progress be made towards a two-state solution to the Israel-Palestine conflict before January 1, 2030?

10%chance

Will there be a US-Russia war before 2050?

8%chance

Will these countries obtain a nuclear weapon before 2030?

South Korea4%
Saudi Arabia3%
Japan2%
and 6 others

Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in or above a European Union state before the following dates?