Questions
Tournaments
Services
News
Questions
Tournaments
Questions
Questions
More
Log in
Sign Up
a
/
文
Log in
Sign Up
Feed Home
👥
Communities
🏆
Leaderboards
Topics
🗳️
US Democracy Index
❓
Top Questions
⏳
AI 2027
🗞️
In the News
🦾
AI Forecasting Benchmark
📈
Indexes
💎
Metaculus Cup
🌍
AI Pathways
🏛️
POTUS Predictions
categories
🦠
Health & Pandemics
🌱
Environment & Climate
☢️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
See all categories
condition
Will the United States attack Venezuela before 2026?
2
forecasters
if yes
if no
Will there be a successful coup in Africa or Latin America before February 1, 2026?
19%
19%
Will there be a successful coup in Africa or Latin America before February 1, 2026?
28%
28%
1
1
comment
2
2
forecasters
0
comments
98
forecasters
Will any new country attack Israel or Iran between June and December 2025?
15%
chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
28
comments
407
forecasters
Will there be a US-Russia war before 2050?
10%
chance
5
comments
63
forecasters
Will France announce a nuclear deterrent extension agreement with a European country before December 16, 2025?
8%
chance
6%
this week
2
comments
11
forecasters
Will Russia, India, and China hold a trilateral (three-way) meeting before September 1, 2026?
55%
chance
10%
this week
0
comments
By 2030-12-31, will the PRC seek control of TSMC's Taiwan ops (direct or indirect)?
32
comments
95
forecasters
Will third countries directly intervene in the Israel-Gaza War before July 2024?
Iran
Annulled
Lebanon
Annulled
Saudi Arabia
Annulled
9 others
28
comments
171
forecasters
Will the Gaza war end and significant progress be made towards a two-state solution before 2030?
11%
chance
7
comments
6
forecasters
Will China settle its South China Sea maritime boundary dispute with any other state by 2030?
33.3%
chance
11.7%
this week
10
comments
34
forecasters
Five years after AGI, will nuclear deterrence no longer hold?
30%
chance
10%
this week
Load More