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Will Russia attack a European NATO member before 2035?

30%chance

15% this week

1 comment

8 forecasters

Will China and India ratify a bilateral treaty addressing territorial boundaries between the two nations before 2029?

61%chance

Contributed by the Sudan Community community.

0 comments

3 forecasters

Will any of Sudan's seven neighboring countries officially announce a complete border closure with Sudan citing conflict spillover or security concerns before July 1, 2026?

22%chance

32 comments

95 forecasters

Will third countries directly intervene in the Israel-Gaza War before July 2024?

IranAnnulled

LebanonAnnulled

Saudi ArabiaAnnulled

condition

31 forecasters

The Taiwan Tinderbox

40 comments

26 forecasters

Which countries will invoke Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty, if it's invoked before 2040?

PolandAmbiguous

LatviaAmbiguous

LithuaniaAmbiguous

7 comments

33 forecasters

Which countries will be the subject of NATO action under Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty, if NATO takes Article 5 action before 2040?

United States32%

Estonia30%

Poland30%

27 comments

168 forecasters

Will the Gaza war end and significant progress be made towards a two-state solution before 2030?

10%chance

12 comments

31 forecasters

Will controlled AI chips be smuggled into China through any of the following countries before 2026?

Vietnam85%

Singaporeresult: Yes

Taiwan70%

20 comments

76 forecasters

Will China attempt to seize any region of Russia before 2046?

12%chance

Will Russia attack a European NATO member before 2035?

Will China and India ratify a bilateral treaty addressing territorial boundaries between the two nations before 2029?

Will any of Sudan's seven neighboring countries officially announce a complete border closure with Sudan citing conflict spillover or security concerns before July 1, 2026?

Will third countries directly intervene in the Israel-Gaza War before July 2024?

US is a NATO Member until 2029?

US-China war before 2035?

US-China war before 2035?

Which countries will invoke Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty, if it's invoked before 2040?

Which countries will be the subject of NATO action under Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty, if NATO takes Article 5 action before 2040?

Will the Gaza war end and significant progress be made towards a two-state solution before 2030?

Will controlled AI chips be smuggled into China through any of the following countries before 2026?

Will China attempt to seize any region of Russia before 2046?

Will Russia attack a European NATO member before 2035?

Will China and India ratify a bilateral treaty addressing territorial boundaries between the two nations before 2029?

Will any of Sudan's seven neighboring countries officially announce a complete border closure with Sudan citing conflict spillover or security concerns before July 1, 2026?

Will third countries directly intervene in the Israel-Gaza War before July 2024?

US is a NATO Member until 2029?

US-China war before 2035?

US-China war before 2035?

Which countries will invoke Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty, if it's invoked before 2040?

Which countries will be the subject of NATO action under Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty, if NATO takes Article 5 action before 2040?

Will the Gaza war end and significant progress be made towards a two-state solution before 2030?

Will controlled AI chips be smuggled into China through any of the following countries before 2026?

Will China attempt to seize any region of Russia before 2046?