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Will these countries get a nuclear weapon before 2035?

9
1111 comments
128
128 forecasters

Forecast Factors: Drivers of Interstate Wars in the Modern World

10
1010 comments

Which country will be the first to administer more territory off Earth than on it?

16
4343 comments
71
71 forecasters

Will the following countries experience a civil war before 2036?

33
210210 comments
232
232 forecasters

When will the following countries no longer be classified as being in a state of civil war?

8
1616 comments
16
16 forecasters

Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the following years? (2035) โ†’ Will Russia attack a European NATO member before 2035?

1
11 comment
10
10 forecasters

Will these countries obtain a nuclear weapon before 2030?

11
2121 comments
77
77 forecasters

What will the Geopolitical Risk index be for 2023?

120 (108 - 128)

6
2929 comments
32
32 forecasters
Resolved118.88

Will the following countries intervene military if there is a Second Korean War by 2050?

4
66 comments
23
23 forecasters

Will China attempt to seize any region of Russia before 2046?

11% chance

5
2020 comments
79
79 forecasters
11%chance

Will non-compliance with environmental and climate change policies be cited as a cause of a war before 2073?

25% chance

8
77 comments
27
27 forecasters
25%chance

Which of these nations will experience a successful coup d'etat before 2040?

31
8383 comments
168
168 forecasters

Will Russia's total territory decrease by at least 20% before 2028?

0.7% chance

9
2323 comments
174
174 forecasters
0.7%chance

Will there be a China-Russia war by 2035?

1% chance

18
5858 comments
239
239 forecasters
1%chance

If there is a WW3, what longitude will it start in?

77.1 ยฐ (34.9 - 115)

13
1616 comments
50
50 forecasters
77.1 ยฐ
(34.9 - 115)

If there is a WW3, what latitude will it start in?

36.4 ยฐ (24 - 50.4)

18
1414 comments
63
63 forecasters
36.4 ยฐ
(24 - 50.4)

The Expansion of Executive War Powers

6
33 comments

Reducing Nuclear Risk Through Improved US-China Relations

13
22 comments

Most likely way(s) a nuclear war involving hundreds of detonations could end up occurring by 2050?

1
0 comments

Ukraine Conflict Challenge Discussion

55
169169 comments

Ukraine Conflict Update for Sunday, 2022-03-13

6
11 comment

Ukraine Conflict Update for Monday, 2022-03-14

13
11 comment