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ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature
9 comments
111 forecasters

Will these countries get a nuclear weapon before 2035?

Iran50%
Saudi Arabia15%
South Korea10%
21 comments
74 forecasters

Will these countries obtain a nuclear weapon before 2030?

South Korea3%
Saudi Arabia2%
Poland1%
10 comments
14 forecasters

When will the following countries no longer be classified as being in a state of civil war?

00
2 comments
10 forecasters

Will Russia, India, and China hold a trilateral (three-way) meeting before September 1, 2026?

55%chance
condition

Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the following years? (2035)

8 forecasters
if yes
if no

Will Russia attack a European NATO member before 2035?

25%
25%

Will Russia attack a European NATO member before 2035?

8%
8%
11 comment
8
8 forecasters
43 comments
66 forecasters

Which country will be the first to administer more territory off Earth than on it?

United States55%
China35%
Israel10%
20 comments
76 forecasters

Will China attempt to seize any region of Russia before 2046?

12%chance

Key Factors

210 comments
230 forecasters

Will the following countries experience a civil war before 2036?

Sudanresult: Yes
Niger67%
Haiti60%
3 comments
59 forecasters

Will any new country attack Israel or Iran between June and December 2025?

2%chance
82 comments
162 forecasters

Which of these nations will experience a successful coup d'etat before 2040?

Syria80%
Haiti74%
Mali62.5%