• Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Services
  • News
  • Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Questions
  • Questions
Feed Home
👥
Communities
🏆
Leaderboards
Topics
🗳️
US Democracy Index
❓
Top Questions
⏳
AI 2027
🗞️
In the News
🦾
AI Forecasting Benchmark
📈
Indexes
💎
Metaculus Cup
🌍
AI Pathways
🏛️
POTUS Predictions
categories
🦠
Health & Pandemics
🌱
Environment & Climate
☢️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
See all categories
  • About
  • API
  • FAQ
  • forecasting resources
  • For Journalists
  • Careers
GuidelinesPrivacy PolicyTerms of Use
ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature
2 comments
11 forecasters

Will Russia, India, and China hold a trilateral (three-way) meeting before September 1, 2026?

55%chance
15% this week
82 comments
161 forecasters

Which of these nations will experience a successful coup d'etat before 2040?

Syria80%
Haiti74%
Mali61%
9 comments
111 forecasters

Will these countries get a nuclear weapon before 2035?

Iran57%
Saudi Arabia15%
South Korea10%
21 comments
73 forecasters

Will these countries obtain a nuclear weapon before 2030?

South Korea3%
Taiwan1%
Saudi ArabiaAnnulled
3 comments
95 forecasters

Will any new country attack Israel or Iran between June and December 2025?

2%chance
10 comments
14 forecasters

When will the following countries no longer be classified as being in a state of civil war?

00
210 comments
230 forecasters

Will the following countries experience a civil war before 2036?

Sudanresult: Yes
Niger67%
Democratic Republic of Congo60%
condition

Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the following years? (2035)

8 forecasters
if yes
if no

Will Russia attack a European NATO member before 2035?

25%
25%

Will Russia attack a European NATO member before 2035?

8%
8%
11 comment
8
8 forecasters
20 comments
76 forecasters

Will China attempt to seize any region of Russia before 2046?

12%chance
43 comments
65 forecasters

Which country will be the first to administer more territory off Earth than on it?

United States51%
China35%
Israel10%