Questions
Tournaments
Services
News
Questions
Tournaments
Questions
Questions
More
Log in
Sign Up
a
/
文
Log in
Sign Up
Feed Home
👥
Communities
🏆
Leaderboards
Topics
❓
Top Questions
🗞️
In the News
🦾
AI Forecasting Benchmark
💎
Metaculus Cup
⏳
AI 2027
🌍
AI Pathways
🏛️
POTUS Predictions
categories
🦠
Health & Pandemics
🌱
Environment & Climate
☢️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
See all categories
20
comments
76
forecasters
Will China attempt to seize any region of Russia before 2046?
12%
chance
7
comments
28
forecasters
Will non-compliance with environmental and climate change policies be cited as a cause of a war before 2073?
33%
chance
8%
this week
21
comments
73
forecasters
Will these countries obtain a nuclear weapon before 2030?
South Korea
3%
Saudi Arabia
2%
Ukraine
1%
6 others
9
comments
109
forecasters
Will these countries get a nuclear weapon before 2035?
Iran
63%
Saudi Arabia
14%
South Korea
9%
7 others
3
comments
81
forecasters
Will any new country attack Israel or Iran between June and December 2025?
9%
chance
82
comments
159
forecasters
Which of these nations will experience a successful coup d'etat before 2040?
Syria
80%
Haiti
74%
Mali
61%
70 others
condition
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the following years? (2035)
8
forecasters
if yes
if no
Will Russia attack a European NATO member before 2035?
25%
25%
Will Russia attack a European NATO member before 2035?
8%
8%
1
1
comment
8
8
forecasters
210
comments
230
forecasters
Will the following countries experience a civil war before 2036?
Sudan
result:
Yes
Niger
67%
Haiti
60%
52 others
43
comments
65
forecasters
Which country will be the first to administer more territory off Earth than on it?
United States
51%
China
35%
Israel
10%
6 others
10
comments
14
forecasters
When will the following countries no longer be classified as being in a state of civil war?
00
Load More