Questions
Tournaments
Services
News
Questions
Tournaments
Questions
Questions
More
Log in
Sign Up
a
/
文
Log in
Sign Up
Feed Home
👥
Communities
🏆
Leaderboards
Topics
🗳️
US Democracy Index
❓
Top Questions
⏳
AI 2027
🗞️
In the News
🦾
AI Forecasting Benchmark
📈
Indexes
💎
Metaculus Cup
🌍
AI Pathways
🏛️
POTUS Predictions
categories
🦠
Health & Pandemics
🌱
Environment & Climate
☢️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
See all categories
0
comments
98
forecasters
Will any new country attack Israel or Iran between June and December 2025?
15%
chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
21
comments
73
forecasters
Will these countries obtain a nuclear weapon before 2030?
South Korea
3%
Saudi Arabia
2%
Saudi Arabia
Annulled
6 others
9
comments
111
forecasters
Will these countries get a nuclear weapon before 2035?
Iran
57%
Saudi Arabia
15%
South Korea
10%
7 others
10
comments
14
forecasters
When will the following countries no longer be classified as being in a state of civil war?
00
3
comments
53
forecasters
PhilPapers survey mini-series: Support for open borders
community
40.8
result
Ambiguous
3
comments
95
forecasters
Will any new country attack Israel or Iran between June and December 2025?
1.9%
chance
7
comments
28
forecasters
Will non-compliance with environmental and climate change policies be cited as a cause of a war before 2073?
33%
chance
8
comments
41
forecasters
Will Israel lose control over the Golan Heights before 2030?
0.5%
chance
29
comments
32
forecasters
What will the Geopolitical Risk index be for 2023?
community
120
result
118.88
Forecast on critical questions on Taiwan 🇹🇼
11
1
1
comment
The Taiwan Tinderbox
Load More