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ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature
7 comments
28 forecasters

Will non-compliance with environmental and climate change policies be cited as a cause of a war before 2073?

33%chance
8% this week
9 comments
109 forecasters

Will these countries get a nuclear weapon before 2035?

Iran63%
Saudi Arabia14%
South Korea7%
21 comments
73 forecasters

Will these countries obtain a nuclear weapon before 2030?

South Korea3%
Saudi Arabia2.5%
Japan1%
3 comments
81 forecasters

Will any new country attack Israel or Iran between June and December 2025?

9%chance
10 comments
14 forecasters

When will the following countries no longer be classified as being in a state of civil war?

00
8 comments
40 forecasters

Will Israel lose control over the Golan Heights before 2030?

0.9%chance
29 comments
32 forecasters

What will the Geopolitical Risk index be for 2023?

community
120
result
118.88

Forecast on critical questions on Taiwan 🇹🇼

11
11 comment
The Taiwan Tinderbox

Forecast Factors: Drivers of Interstate Wars in the Modern World

10
1010 comments
Metaculus Journal Archives

🌐 Forecast in the Global Pulse Tournament

16
1010 comments
Global Pulse Tournament