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ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature
5 comments
63 forecasters

Will France announce a nuclear deterrent extension agreement with a European country before December 16, 2025?

8%chance
6% this week
0 comments
11 forecasters

Will there be a fatal clash between the military forces of the United States and Venezuela before March 1, 2026?

52%chance
10% this week
28 comments
407 forecasters

Will there be a US-Russia war before 2050?

10%chance
9 comments
68 forecasters

Will the Cambodia-Thailand conflict result in ⩾20 deaths between October 1 and December 15, 2025?

10%chance
28 comments
171 forecasters

Will the Gaza war end and significant progress be made towards a two-state solution before 2030?

11%chance
32 comments
95 forecasters

Will third countries directly intervene in the Israel-Gaza War before July 2024?

IranAnnulled
LebanonAnnulled
Saudi ArabiaAnnulled
24 comments
135 forecasters

Will at least one of Egypt, Jordan, or Lebanon be at war with Israel on May 31, 2024?

resultNo
5 comments
37 forecasters

Will Russia attack a European NATO member before 2035?

30%chance
27 comments
101 forecasters

Will there be a direct conflict between Russia and any NATO member state before 2027?

15%chance
21 comments
48 forecasters

Will there be a collision or ramming incident between a military vessel or military aircraft of Russia or Belarus, and one of a NATO country, before 2024?

resultYes