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40 comments
26 forecasters

Which countries will invoke Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty, if it's invoked before 2040?

PolandAmbiguous
LatviaAmbiguous
LithuaniaAmbiguous
7 comments
33 forecasters

Which countries will be the subject of NATO action under Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty, if NATO takes Article 5 action before 2040?

United States32%
Estonia30%
Poland30%
9 comments
109 forecasters

Will these countries get a nuclear weapon before 2035?

Iran64%
Saudi Arabia15%
South Korea7%
21 comments
73 forecasters

Will these countries obtain a nuclear weapon before 2030?

South Korea3%
Saudi Arabia2.5%
Japan1%

Contributed by the Odborný Predikční Tým community.

10 comments
8 forecasters

If there is a violent attack by an individual in the EU with 50 or more victims in the next 5 years, how likely is it that they will be followers of the ideology:

Islámský extremismus46.2%
Pravicový extremismus43%
Levicový a anarchistický extremismus6.4%
82 comments
159 forecasters

Which of these nations will experience a successful coup d'etat before 2040?

Syria80%
Haiti74%
Mali61%
9 comments
307 forecasters

If there is at least one nuclear detonation by 2030, in which countries will there be at least one fatality?

Ukraine15%
Israel13%
India13%
15 comments
281 forecasters

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to nuclear war?

29.2%chance
9 comments
75 forecasters

What will be the total number of fatalities from terrorism in the world in the following years?

2 comments
61 forecasters

Will a non-test nuclear detonation by a non-state actor cause at least one fatality by 2030?

2%chance