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40
comments
26
forecasters
Which countries will invoke Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty, if it's invoked before 2040?
Poland
Ambiguous
Latvia
Ambiguous
Lithuania
Ambiguous
9 others
7
comments
33
forecasters
Which countries will be the subject of NATO action under Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty, if NATO takes Article 5 action before 2040?
United States
32%
Estonia
30%
Poland
30%
9 others
9
comments
109
forecasters
Will these countries get a nuclear weapon before 2035?
Iran
64%
Saudi Arabia
15%
South Korea
7%
7 others
21
comments
73
forecasters
Will these countries obtain a nuclear weapon before 2030?
South Korea
3%
Saudi Arabia
2.5%
Japan
1%
6 others
Contributed by the
Odborný Predikční Tým
community.
10
comments
8
forecasters
If there is a violent attack by an individual in the EU with 50 or more victims in the next 5 years, how likely is it that they will be followers of the ideology:
Islámský extremismus
46.2%
Pravicový extremismus
43%
Levicový a anarchistický extremismus
6.4%
1 other
4%
82
comments
159
forecasters
Which of these nations will experience a successful coup d'etat before 2040?
Syria
80%
Haiti
74%
Mali
61%
70 others
9
comments
307
forecasters
If there is at least one nuclear detonation by 2030, in which countries will there be at least one fatality?
Ukraine
15%
Israel
13%
India
13%
5 others
15
comments
281
forecasters
Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to nuclear war?
29.2%
chance
9
comments
75
forecasters
What will be the total number of fatalities from terrorism in the world in the following years?
2
comments
61
forecasters
Will a non-test nuclear detonation by a non-state actor cause at least one fatality by 2030?
2%
chance
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