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How many people will die from the new Ebola outbreak before 2026?

Current estimate

60.3 Deaths

23 comments

53 forecasters

How many total human cases of H5 bird flu will CDC report in the United States for 2024 and 2025?

Current estimate

89.7 cases

13 comments

40 forecasters

If at least 200 human cases of H5 are confirmed in the United States before 2026, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?

Current estimate

0.833%

23 comments

81 forecasters

Will the US Department of Health and Human Services declare a public health emergency for H5 avian influenza before January 1, 2026?

1.5%chance

1.3% this week

12 comments

48 forecasters

Will the 2024 mpox outbreak exceed the 2022-2023 outbreak in confirmed cases?

resultNo

19 comments

34 forecasters

What will be the average annual number of measles cases in the US from 2025 through 2030?

Current estimate

712 cases

13 comments

3 forecasters

How many wild polio cases will be detected by the World Health Organization in the following years?

41 comments

143 forecasters

Will WHO declare the spread of monkeypox a Public Health Emergency of International Concern before 2023?

resultYes

24 comments

77 forecasters

Will the current Ebola outbreak be contained to under 50 cases?

resultNo

condition

Will USDA license HPAI H5 vax in dairy cows by July 1, 2025?

How many total human cases of H5 bird flu will CDC report in the United States for 2024 and 2025?

124

Resolved:Annulled

How many total human cases of H5 bird flu will CDC report in the United States for 2024 and 2025?

144

13 13 comments

17 forecasters

Respiratory Outlook 2024/25