Will a wild animal be infected with the New World screwworm in the contiguous US, before 2027?57% chance855 comments2525 forecasters57%chance
How many New World Screwworm animal cases will be confirmed in the US in 2026?39.5 animal cases (18.6 - 72.9)122 comments66 forecasters39.5 animal cases (18.6 - 72.9)
How many laboratory-confirmed Ebola (Bundibugyo virus) cases will WHO report in the Democratic Republic of the Congo by September 1, 2026?648 cases (365 - 1083)0 comments4646 forecasters648 cases (365 - 1083)
Pandemic series: a major naturally-originated pandemic by 2026?result: yes434949 comments238238 forecastersResolvedYes
How many deaths will be attributed to the 2026 Ebola Bundibugyo outbreak in Ituri Province, DRC, as reported by Africa CDC by May 31, 2026?187 value (120 - 277)22 comments3434 forecasters187 value (120 - 277)
Will a case of Bundibugyo Ebola disease be first confirmed in the US before 2027?10% chance199 comments6060 forecasters10%chance
Will a case of Bundibugyo Ebola disease be first confirmed in the US before 2027?9.5% chance-166 comments9494 forecastersAnnulled
How many cumulative suspected Ebola cases will Africa CDC report in the DRC Ituri Province outbreak in its last weekly epidemic brief published before May 31, 2026?765 value (488 - 1156)22 comments3535 forecasters765 value (488 - 1156)
Will at least 5 non-passengers be linked to the MV Hondius hantavirus outbreak before August 2026?1% chance35252 comments205205 forecasters1%chance
Will WHO declare hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern before 2027?0.7% chance51818 comments104104 forecasters0.7%chance
How many measles cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?3427 cases (2818 - 4355)11111 comments2626 forecasters3427 cases (2818 - 4355)
How many Clade I Mpox cases will have been reported in the US before 2027?40 cases (31 - 51)1111 comments1515 forecasters40 cases (31 - 51)
How many people will die from the new Ebola outbreak before 2026?46.3 Deaths (44 - 50.2)23838 comments126126 forecasters46.3 Deaths (44 - 50.2)
What will be the rate of people (per 100,000) affected by natural disasters in the following years?888 comments8080 forecasters
Will WHO declare the spread of monkeypox a Public Health Emergency of International Concern before 2023?result: yes274141 comments143143 forecastersResolvedYes
Will the WHO declare a Public Health Emergency of International Concern in 2026?result: yes51717 comments763763 forecastersResolvedYes
Will an epidemic or agroterrorist attack on US agriculture cause at least $20 billion (2021 USD) in damage by 2040?22.1% chance20 comments2929 forecasters22.1%chance
What will be the average annual number of measles cases in the US from 2025 through 2030?>1000 cases (>1000 - >1000)22626 comments4141 forecasters>1000 cases (>1000 - >1000)
Which countries will confirm Clade I mpox infections before January 1, 2025?2121 comments1919 forecasters
What will be the total number of confirmed and suspected monkeypox cases in the United States as of July 1, 2022?376 (322 - 440)132121 comments6969 forecasters376 (322 - 440)
Respiratory Outlook April Update: Measles Surge Slows as Flu Season Ends with Likely Moderate Severity50 comments
How many human infections of monkeypox will be estimated to have occurred before 2023, worldwide?104k (80.3k - 160k)377979 comments218218 forecasters104k (80.3k - 160k)