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0
comments
101
forecasters
Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?
2%
chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
0
comments
106
forecasters
Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2026?
15%
chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
0
comments
83
forecasters
How many total human cases of H5 bird flu will CDC report in the United States for 2024 and 2025?
Latest estimate
77.2 cases
This question is closed for forecasting.
Respiratory Outlook October Update: Forecasts for Flu, COVID-19, RSV, and Measles This Season
6
0
comments
Respiratory Outlook 2025/26
17
comments
25
forecasters
How many measles cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
Current estimate
1022 cases
Key Factors
Cases rising on average over years
Persistence of higher-than-baseline case rates possible
Regression to the mean expected
35
comments
113
forecasters
How many people will die from the new Ebola outbreak before 2026?
Current estimate
46.7 Deaths
Key Factors
Outbreak declared over if no new cases by Dec
Last Ebola patient discharged in DRC
No new cases since mid-October
36
comments
182
forecasters
Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2026?
1%
chance
18
comments
70
forecasters
How many total human cases of H5 will CDC report in the United States on October 1, 2024?
12-20
result:
Yes
21-30
0.8%
11
0.1%
3 others
0%
99
comments
59
forecasters
How many additional highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 infections will be reported in humans in the United States in 2024?
21 to 100
result:
Yes
More than 100
0.7%
0
0.1%
2 others
0%
70
comments
118
forecasters
Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2025?
result
No
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