Question Feed | Metaculus

Topics

🗳️

US Democracy Index

❓

How many zero emission light vehicles will be available for under 40 thousand dollars (in 2022 US dollars) in the United States for the following model years?

4 comments

13 forecasters

Will renewable energy exceed 55% of global electricity generation before 2030, according to Our World in Data?

4%chance

16 comments

28 forecasters

What will be the percentage change in the energy transition metal index for the value in December of the listed year relative to the value in December 2020?

2 comments

38 forecasters

Longbets series: will the amount of geologically-derived crude oil consumed by the United States in 2035 be greater than the amount consumed in 2015?

25%chance

5% this week

4 comments

67 forecasters

By five years after AGI, will nuclear fusion provide >10% of the world’s energy?

16%chance

4 comments

36 forecasters

What will be the annual average retail gasoline price (in 2022 USD per gallon) in the United States in the following years?

9 comments

24 forecasters

Will the Lithium-ion battery recycling market surpass $20 billion (current USD) before 2031?

57%chance

7 comments

27 forecasters

How many people will be employed in the electric vehicle industry in the United States in the following years?

1 comment

33 forecasters

Will the U.S. "Microgrid as a Service" (MaaS) market exceed $1.5 billion before 2030?

60%chance

6 comments

130 forecasters

How many zero emission light vehicles will be available for under 40 thousand dollars (in 2022 US dollars) in the United States for the following model years?

Will renewable energy exceed 55% of global electricity generation before 2030, according to Our World in Data?

What will be the percentage change in the energy transition metal index for the value in December of the listed year relative to the value in December 2020?

Longbets series: will the amount of geologically-derived crude oil consumed by the United States in 2035 be greater than the amount consumed in 2015?

By five years after AGI, will nuclear fusion provide >10% of the world’s energy?

What will be the annual average retail gasoline price (in 2022 USD per gallon) in the United States in the following years?

Will the Lithium-ion battery recycling market surpass $20 billion (current USD) before 2031?

How many people will be employed in the electric vehicle industry in the United States in the following years?

Will the U.S. "Microgrid as a Service" (MaaS) market exceed $1.5 billion before 2030?

What percent of the world's primary energy will come from fossil fuels in the following years?

How many zero emission light vehicles will be available for under 40 thousand dollars (in 2022 US dollars) in the United States for the following model years?

Will renewable energy exceed 55% of global electricity generation before 2030, according to Our World in Data?

What will be the percentage change in the energy transition metal index for the value in December of the listed year relative to the value in December 2020?

Longbets series: will the amount of geologically-derived crude oil consumed by the United States in 2035 be greater than the amount consumed in 2015?

By five years after AGI, will nuclear fusion provide >10% of the world’s energy?

What will be the annual average retail gasoline price (in 2022 USD per gallon) in the United States in the following years?

Will the Lithium-ion battery recycling market surpass $20 billion (current USD) before 2031?

How many people will be employed in the electric vehicle industry in the United States in the following years?

Will the U.S. "Microgrid as a Service" (MaaS) market exceed $1.5 billion before 2030?

What percent of the world's primary energy will come from fossil fuels in the following years?