What will be the annual average retail electricity price (in 2022 US cents per kWh) in the United States in the following years?988 comments3737 forecasters
How many zero emission light vehicles will be available for under 40 thousand dollars (in 2022 US dollars) in the United States for the following model years?81313 comments3636 forecasters
What will be the annual average retail gasoline price (in 2022 USD per gallon) in the United States in the following years?455 comments4343 forecasters
How many people will be employed in the electric vehicle industry in the United States in the following years?1088 comments3333 forecasters
Conditional on the US implementing NEPA reform, what will be the change in the energy transition metal index for December of 2027 relative to December 2020?10 comments1717 forecasters
What will be the percentage change in the energy transition metal index for the value in December of the listed year relative to the value in December 2020?61717 comments3232 forecasters
When will a private fusion company first report a yearly profit?Feb 2046 (Jan 2036 - Jul 2060)273939 comments7777 forecastersFeb 2046 (Jan 2036 - Jul 2060)
Which of the following California oil refineries will first announce the intent to idle, restructure, or cease operations before 2028?66 comments22 forecasters
In 2030, what proportion of UK's energy consumption will come from overseas electrical connectors versus battery storage?0.608 (0.46 - 0.734)20 comments1313 forecasters0.608 (0.46 - 0.734)
By five years after AGI, will nuclear fusion provide >10% of the world’s energy?15% chance755 comments7171 forecasters15%chance
Will the retail price of electricity in the US in 2030 be below 11 cents USD (2023 dollars)?16% chance155 comments2020 forecasters16%chance
Will the U.S. "Microgrid as a Service" (MaaS) market exceed $1.5 billion before 2030?75% chance111 comment6565 forecasters75%chance
What will be world per capita primary energy consumption (in kWh) in the following years?544 comments6767 forecasters
What percent of the world's primary energy will come from fossil fuels in the following years?2366 comments136136 forecasters
When will nuclear fusion provide >10% of the world's primary energy?Jan 2072 (Jan 2052 - >2100)252525 comments156156 forecastersJan 2072 (Jan 2052 - >2100)
Will renewable energy exceed 55% of global electricity generation before 2030, according to Our World in Data?5% chance244 comments1919 forecasters5%chance
EIA Petroleum Status Report - September 20201.42M (1.4M - 1.43M)266 comments2525 forecasters1.42M (1.4M - 1.43M)
Will renewable energy have a higher energy production share in the US than combined fossil fuels and nuclear in any month before 2050?75% chance577 comments2121 forecasters75%chance
Will the Lithium-ion battery recycling market surpass $20 billion (current USD) before 2031?70% chance499 comments2525 forecasters70%chance
Will there be a year before 2074 when the percentage of renewable energy supported by space-based power systems is greater than that supported by earth-based power generation systems?5% chance611 comment3737 forecasters5%chance
When will fossil fuels make up less than 50% of global primary energy consumption?Nov 2050 (Jun 2041 - Nov 2064)211212 comments6363 forecastersNov 2050 (Jun 2041 - Nov 2064)
EIA Petroleum Status Report - October 20201.4M (1.39M - 1.41M)155 comments3131 forecasters1.4M (1.39M - 1.41M)