Conditional on the US implementing NEPA reform, what will be the change in the energy transition metal index for December of 2027 relative to December 2020?10 comments1616 forecasters
In 2030, what proportion of UK's energy consumption will come from overseas electrical connectors versus battery storage?0.59 (0.463 - 0.694)20 comments1313 forecasters0.59 (0.463 - 0.694)
When will fossil fuels make up less than 50% of global primary energy consumption?Nov 2050 (Jun 2041 - Nov 2064)221212 comments6363 forecastersNov 2050 (Jun 2041 - Nov 2064)
Which of the following California oil refineries will first announce the intent to idle, restructure, or cease operations before 2028?66 comments22 forecasters
How many people will be employed in the electric vehicle industry in the United States in the following years?1088 comments3333 forecasters
What will net U.S. geothermal electricity production be in the year 2026, in GWh?17.2k GWh (15.1k - 19.6k)855 comments1111 forecasters17.2k GWh (15.1k - 19.6k)
How many zero emission light vehicles will be available for under 40 thousand dollars (in 2022 US dollars) in the United States for the following model years?81313 comments3636 forecasters
Will renewable energy have a higher energy production share in the US than combined fossil fuels and nuclear in any month before 2050?80% chance577 comments1919 forecasters80%chance
What will be the annual revenue for the average 20kWh home battery trading on the Dutch frequency imbalance market in 2028?1119 € (971 - 1271)122 comments33 forecasters1119 € (971 - 1271)
Will renewable energy exceed 55% of global electricity generation before 2030, according to Our World in Data?5% chance244 comments1919 forecasters5%chance
When will a private fusion company first report a yearly profit?Feb 2046 (Jan 2036 - Jul 2060)273939 comments7777 forecastersFeb 2046 (Jan 2036 - Jul 2060)
Will there be a year before 2074 when the percentage of renewable energy supported by space-based power systems is greater than that supported by earth-based power generation systems?4% chance611 comment3535 forecasters4%chance
What will be the annual average retail electricity price (in 2022 US cents per kWh) in the United States in the following years?988 comments3737 forecasters
Will the retail price of electricity in the US in 2030 be below 11 cents USD (2023 dollars)?15% chance155 comments1818 forecasters15%chance
What will be the annual average retail gasoline price (in 2022 USD per gallon) in the United States in the following years?455 comments4444 forecasters
Will the Lithium-ion battery recycling market surpass $20 billion (current USD) before 2031?70% chance499 comments2424 forecasters70%chance
Will the U.S. "Microgrid as a Service" (MaaS) market exceed $1.5 billion before 2030?75% chance111 comment6363 forecasters75%chance
What will be the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030?111 comment44 forecasters
Will Puerto Rico's industrial sector be powered primarily by New Nuclear before 2040?20% chance10 comments1111 forecasters20%chance
Will Puerto Rico's industrial sector be powered primarily by New Nuclear before 2040? [QL]0 comments%chance
Will the median person on Bloomberg's Billionaires Index come from the Energy industry on September 16, 2024?result: yes5858 comments3333 forecastersResolvedYes