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How many people will be employed in the electric vehicle industry in the United States in the following years?

10

35

35 forecasters

Renewables Forecasting

23

What percent of the world's primary energy will come from fossil fuels in the following years?

23

138

138 forecasters

Conditional on the US implementing NEPA reform, what will be the change in the energy transition metal index for December of 2027 relative to December 2020?

1

17

17 forecasters

What will be world per capita primary energy consumption (in kWh) in the following years?

5

67

67 forecasters

How many zero emission light vehicles will be available for under 40 thousand dollars (in 2022 US dollars) in the United States for the following model years?

8

37

37 forecasters

What will be the annual average retail electricity price (in 2022 US cents per kWh) in the United States in the following years?

9

38

38 forecasters

What will be the percentage change in the energy transition metal index for the value in December of the listed year relative to the value in December 2020?

6

32

32 forecasters

What will net U.S. geothermal electricity production be in the year 2026, in GWh?

17.2k GWh (15.1k - 19.6k)

8

11

11 forecasters

17.2k GWh

(15.1k - 19.6k)

What will be the annual average retail gasoline price (in 2022 USD per gallon) in the United States in the following years?

4

45

45 forecasters

In 2030, what proportion of UK's energy consumption will come from overseas electrical connectors versus battery storage?

0.59 (0.463 - 0.694)

2

13

13 forecasters

0.59

(0.463 - 0.694)

Which of the following California oil refineries will first announce the intent to idle, restructure, or cease operations before 2028?

3

3 forecasters

When will fossil fuels make up less than 50% of global primary energy consumption?

Jan 2051 (Sep 2041 - Oct 2064)

22

63

63 forecasters

Jan 2051

(Sep 2041 - Oct 2064)

Will the U.S. "Microgrid as a Service" (MaaS) market exceed $1.5 billion before 2030?

75% chance

1

82

82 forecasters

75%chance

What will be the annual revenue for the average 20kWh home battery trading on the Dutch frequency imbalance market in 2028?

1124 € (954 - 1302)

1

4

4 forecasters

1124 €

(954 - 1302)

What will be the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030?

1

6

6 forecasters

Will Puerto Rico's industrial sector be powered primarily by New Nuclear before 2040?

18% chance

1

11

11 forecasters

18%chance

Will Puerto Rico's industrial sector be powered primarily by New Nuclear before 2040? [QL]

%chance

Will the median person on Bloomberg's Billionaires Index come from the Energy industry on September 16, 2024?

result: yes

33

33 forecasters

ResolvedYes

US 2030 Electricity Below 11 cents per kWh? → US Electric Vehicle Sales Share >35% in 2030?

3

3 forecasters

Will the retail price of electricity in the US in 2030 be below 11 cents USD (2023 dollars)?

15% chance

1

18

18 forecasters

15%chance

By five years after AGI, will nuclear fusion provide >10% of the world’s energy?

20% chance

7

69

69 forecasters

20%chance