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1
comment
16
forecasters
Will an international organization release a report estimating that space-based technologies have contributed to a 5% or greater increase in agricultural yields in any country before 2031?
49%
chance
16%
this week
11
comments
52
forecasters
How many successful orbital rocket launches will there be in the following years?
75
comments
140
forecasters
What will SpaceX be worth in 2030, in billions of nominal USD?
Current estimate
>125 billion $
5
comments
30
forecasters
In what year will the first private citizen become a permanent off-Earth resident?
Current estimate
Jan 2068
83
comments
115
forecasters
When will the following vehicles launch into orbit?
00
2
comments
59
forecasters
Who will be the first group to land a human on Mars?
SpaceX
65%
NASA
25%
CNSA
15%
2 others
1
comment
25
forecasters
What propulsion mechanism will launch a payload into space at a cost of < $100/kg first?
Conventional
90.2%
Air-breathing
2.1%
Thermal rockets
1.2%
6 others
6%
80
comments
624
forecasters
Will humans have a sustainable off-world presence by 2100?
40%
chance
16
comments
197
forecasters
Will any asteroid or comet have been mined in space for commercial purposes before 2030?
2%
chance
4
comments
9
forecasters
What percent of spacecraft will satisfy post mission disposal regulations in the decade of 2020-2029?
Current estimate
60.5%
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