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75
comments
140
forecasters
What will SpaceX be worth in 2030, in billions of nominal USD?
Current estimate
>125 billion $
80
comments
621
forecasters
Will humans have a sustainable off-world presence by 2100?
35%
chance
5%
this week
2
comments
59
forecasters
Who will be the first group to land a human on Mars?
SpaceX
65%
NASA
25%
CNSA
15%
2 others
83
comments
114
forecasters
When will the following vehicles launch into orbit?
00
5
comments
29
forecasters
In what year will the first private citizen become a permanent off-Earth resident?
Current estimate
Apr 2064
43
comments
65
forecasters
Which country will be the first to administer more territory off Earth than on it?
United States
51%
China
35%
Israel
10%
6 others
4
comments
23
forecasters
When will Varda successfully manufacture and sell its first product from space?
Current estimate
Sep 2031
5
comments
7
forecasters
How much total space based solar PV (in GW) will be installed by the following years?
2
comments
27
forecasters
What will be the proportion of orbital launches in 2030 for the following launcher categories?
8
comments
46
forecasters
By 2030, will at least 1% of Gallup respondents report the most important problem facing the US is something relating to space?
5%
chance
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