Questions
Tournaments
Services
News
Questions
Tournaments
Questions
Questions
More
Log in
Sign Up
a
/
文
Log in
Sign Up
Feed Home
👥
Communities
🏆
Leaderboards
Topics
❓
Top Questions
🗞️
In the News
🦾
AI Forecasting Benchmark
💎
Metaculus Cup
⏳
AI 2027
🌍
AI Pathways
🏛️
POTUS Predictions
categories
🦠
Health & Pandemics
🌱
Environment & Climate
☢️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
See all categories
18
comments
73
forecasters
Will a novel pathogen be identified as responsible for the pneumonia reported in Beijing or Liaoning before December 15, 2023?
result
No
condition
Novel Pathogen in China November 2023?
Resolved:
No
14
forecasters
if yes
if no
25M Killed by Pandemic 2022 to 2031
5%
5%
Resolved:
Annulled
25M Killed by Pandemic 2022 to 2031
4%
4%
3
0
comments
14
14
forecasters
From Reduction to Elimination: Replicating the Successes of Historical Tuberculosis Control
5
0
comments
Metaculus Journal Archives
44
comments
164
forecasters
Before 2020-05-17, will at least two public health agencies claim that China deliberately misreported COVID-19 infections?
result
No
3
comments
64
forecasters
Pandemic series: pathogen research rejected for publication as an information hazard?
result
No
Li Wenliang prize series
34
66
66
comments