Will Massachusetts enact frontier AI safety legislation during the 194th General Court?70.2% chance111 comment1010 forecasters70.2%chance
Will the following entities enact a liability law before October 1, 2027 for developers of AI systems that hack other systems?66 comments1919 forecasters
How many additional US states will enact bans on cultivated meat before July 2027?144 comments5757 forecasters
Will the Save Our Bacon Act be enacted into law before July 2027?3% chance333 comments7676 forecasters3%chance
Will any part of California's Prop 12 or Related Measures be nullified before January 20th, 2029?60% chance199 comments77 forecasters60%chance
Will federal legislation be passed before the 2026 midterm elections offering immunity to banks providing financial services to legal marijuana businesses?3% chance211 comment3838 forecasters3%chance
Will a law that allows states other than California to set their own stringent vehicle emissions standards be enacted in the United States before January 1, 2027?1% chance411 comment5555 forecasters1%chance
Will the Hen Caging (Prohibition) bill become UK law in the 2021-22 Parliamentary session??result: no277 comments4343 forecastersResolvedNo
Will California Assembly Bill 3155 be chaptered in the 2020 legislative session?result: no233 comments3434 forecastersResolvedNo