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Metaculus is an online forecasting platform focusing on topics of global importance.

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Will the Save Our Bacon Act be enacted into law before July 2027?

20.1% chance

3
0 comments
35
35 forecasters
20.1%chance

Will a law that allows states other than California to set their own stringent vehicle emissions standards be enacted in the United States before January 1, 2027?

3.4% chance

4
11 comment
50
50 forecasters
3.4%chance

Will H.R. 33 (United Statesโ€“Taiwan Expedited Double-Tax Relief Act) be enacted into law before May 1, 2026?

result: no

123123 comments
124
124 forecasters
ResolvedNo

Will federal legislation be passed before the 2026 midterm elections offering immunity to banks providing financial services to legal marijuana businesses?

4% chance

2
11 comment
34
34 forecasters
4%chance

Will any part of California's Prop 12 or Related Measures be nullified before January 20th, 2029?

60% chance

1
99 comments
7
7 forecasters
60%chance

Will There Be National Clean Meat Legislation in the US by Jan 20, 2029?

0 comments
1
1 forecaster

Will California Assembly Bill 3155 be chaptered in the 2020 legislative session?

result: no

2
33 comments
34
34 forecasters
ResolvedNo

Will the Hen Caging (Prohibition) bill become UK law in the 2021-22 Parliamentary session??

result: no

2
77 comments
43
43 forecasters
ResolvedNo

Will the Token Taxonomy Act of 2019 become law?

result: no

5
88 comments
82
82 forecasters
ResolvedNo